BVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BVN - Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A.
$30.00
0.45 (1.52%)
▲
5d:
+0.94%
30d:
-3.19%
90d:
-21.94%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BVN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.2% annual earnings decline despite 139% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BVN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.2% annual earnings decline despite 139% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.70
Based on -9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BVN is currently trading at $30.00, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.20 to $33.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.9) compared to its historical average (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 139.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.31, while resistance sits at $31.84.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.78 (+29.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.31, while resistance sits at $31.84.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.78 (+29.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$29.20 -
$33.52
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.3% below Wall St target ($38.78)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.20 -
$33.52
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.31
Resistance Level
$31.84
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.86
Wall Street Target
$38.78
(+29.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
103.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
139.4%
Profit Margin
47.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 10.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.14
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$26.40
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$24.76
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$29.89
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -22.5%)
$53.75
(+79%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: -22.5%)
$21.87
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: -22.5%)
$18.59
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.29
Bull Case
$25.65
(-15%)
Analyst growth -21.1%, PE expands to 7.6
Base Case
$23.32
(-22%)
Market implied -21.1%, PE stable at 6.9
Bear Case
$20.09
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 10.7
Stabilization Target:
$36.22
(+20.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 11, 2026 3:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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