BVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BVN - Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A.
$35.47
1.31 (3.83%)
▲
5d:
+5.13%
30d:
+13.25%
90d:
+5.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BVN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BVN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.49
Based on -5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BVN is currently trading at $35.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.50 to $33.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 160.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: BVN scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: BVN scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$30.50 -
$33.94
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($37.53)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.50 -
$33.94
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.90
Resistance Level
$35.72
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.07
Wall Street Target
$37.53
(+5.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
43.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
160.0%
Profit Margin
48.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.12
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$34.76
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$34.42
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$35.54
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -14.7%)
$51.53
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: -14.7%)
$25.86
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: -14.7%)
$21.98
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.12
Bull Case
$32.12
(-9%)
Analyst growth -14.5%, PE expands to 9.1
Base Case
$29.20
(-18%)
Market implied -14.5%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$23.23
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 10.4
Stabilization Target:
$36.63
(+3.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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