BVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BVN - Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A.
$28.49
-1.95 (-6.41%)
▼
5d:
-8.54%
30d:
-14.75%
90d:
-7.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BVN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BVN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.71
Based on -2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BVN is currently trading at $28.49, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.58 to $33.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (10.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 160.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $28.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: BVN scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.53 (+35.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $28.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: BVN scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.53 (+35.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$30.58 -
$33.46
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 35.3% below Wall St target ($38.53)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.58 -
$33.46
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.17
Resistance Level
$32.66
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.69
Wall Street Target
$38.53
(+35.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
43.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
160.0%
Profit Margin
48.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 10.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.98
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$23.70
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$21.61
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$28.39
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -9.1%)
$55.30
(+94%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: -9.1%)
$21.41
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: -9.1%)
$18.19
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.40
Bull Case
$28.20
(-1%)
Analyst growth -15.8%, PE expands to 7.6
Base Case
$25.64
(-10%)
Market implied -15.8%, PE stable at 6.9
Bear Case
$20.70
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 10.1
Stabilization Target:
$37.43
(+31.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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