BVN Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A. Metal Mining Best Mining Stocks 2026 →

BVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$26.10
-0.98 (-3.62%) ▼
5d: -9.37% 30d: -17.14% 90d: -22.48%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (52%)
Quality Score
48/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$27.49 – $31.25
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.2x CHEAP
vs 10.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$38.50
+47.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$25.86 / $29.89
Trend: Sideways
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BVN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.32
Based on -5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.96
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BVN is currently trading at $26.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.49 to $31.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.2) compared to its historical average (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 46.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $25.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: BVN scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.50 (+47.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $27.49 - $31.25
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $27.49 - $31.25
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $25.86
Resistance Level $29.89
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 47.5% below Wall St target ($38.50)
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.23
Wall Street Target $38.50 (+47.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 26.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 46.6%
Profit Margin 49.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -10.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.2 vs 10.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -10.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $23.49 (-10%)
2-Year Target $21.14 (-19%)
3-Year Target $19.03 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→10) $26.32 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -14.4%) $52.28 (+100%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: -14.4%) $19.03 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 6.1, Growth: -14.4%) $16.17 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.72
Bull Case $22.79 (-13%)
Analyst growth -23.5%, PE expands to 6.3
Base Case $20.72 (-21%)
Market implied -23.5%, PE stable at 5.7
Bear Case $18.41 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 10.0
Stabilization Target: $36.11 (+38.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +38.3%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BVN)

Bearish 1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Sep 22, 2023
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on BVN are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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