BVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BVN - Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A.
$30.28
-1.58 (-4.96%)
▼
5d:
-2.04%
30d:
+3.7%
90d:
-7.09%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BVN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.3% annual earnings decline despite 139% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BVN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.3% annual earnings decline despite 139% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.75
Based on -7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BVN is currently trading at $30.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.31 to $31.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 139.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.16, while resistance sits at $32.80. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: BVN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.78 (+24.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.16, while resistance sits at $32.80. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: BVN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.78 (+24.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$29.31 -
$31.17
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.8% below Wall St target ($37.78)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.31 -
$31.17
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.17
Resistance Level
$32.80
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.36
Wall Street Target
$37.78
(+24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
103.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
139.4%
Profit Margin
47.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 10.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.07
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$26.02
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$24.12
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→11)
$30.30
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -19.7%)
$54.74
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: -19.7%)
$22.07
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: -19.7%)
$18.76
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.34
Bull Case
$29.25
(-3%)
Analyst growth -16.5%, PE expands to 8.1
Base Case
$26.59
(-12%)
Market implied -16.5%, PE stable at 7.3
Bear Case
$21.66
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 10.5
Stabilization Target:
$38.03
(+25.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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