BVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BVN - Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A.
$34.04
0.19 (0.56%)
â˛
5d:
-2.1%
30d:
-1.62%
90d:
+3.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BVN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BVN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.22
Based on -5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BVN is currently trading at $34.04, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.97 to $35.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 160.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $33.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BVN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.53 (+10.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $33.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BVN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.53 (+10.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$32.97 -
$35.44
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($37.53)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.97 -
$35.44
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.26
Resistance Level
$36.94
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.66
Wall Street Target
$37.53
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
43.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
160.0%
Profit Margin
48.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.29
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$32.56
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$31.84
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â10)
$33.94
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -14.7%)
$51.79
(+52%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: -14.7%)
$24.82
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: -14.7%)
$21.09
(-38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.94
Bull Case
$33.29
(-2%)
Analyst growth -10.6%, PE expands to 9.5
Base Case
$30.26
(-11%)
Market implied -10.6%, PE stable at 8.6
Bear Case
$23.02
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$36.28
(+6.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 12:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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