BVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BVN - Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A.
$31.39
-0.10 (-0.32%)
▼
5d:
-5.37%
30d:
-8.24%
90d:
+4.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BVN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BVN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.22
Based on -5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BVN is currently trading at $31.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.20 to $35.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.9) compared to its historical average (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 160.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $30.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.53 (+19.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $30.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.53 (+19.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$33.20 -
$35.30
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($37.53)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.20 -
$35.30
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.93
Resistance Level
$34.90
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.91
Wall Street Target
$37.53
(+19.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
43.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
160.0%
Profit Margin
48.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 10.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.95
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$28.57
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$27.25
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$31.50
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -14.7%)
$52.38
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: -14.7%)
$22.88
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: -14.7%)
$19.45
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.35
Bull Case
$28.13
(-11%)
Analyst growth -19.0%, PE expands to 8.0
Base Case
$25.57
(-19%)
Market implied -19.0%, PE stable at 7.3
Bear Case
$21.47
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$36.28
(+15.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 5:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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