BWIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BWIN - The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$24.39
0.87 (3.70%)
▲
5d:
+34.31%
30d:
+19.73%
90d:
+10.16%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: BWIN is 15.2% above its trading range ($21.18). Market expects 0.1% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: BWIN is 15.2% above its trading range ($21.18). Market expects 0.1% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.70
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.00
15.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWIN is currently trading at $24.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.28 to $21.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWIN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $16.84, while resistance sits at $25.77. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.00 (+18.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWIN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $16.84, while resistance sits at $25.77. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.00 (+18.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.28 -
$21.18
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+15.2% above its trading range)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with 28.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 15.2% overvaluation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.28 -
$21.18
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.84
Resistance Level
$25.77
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.74
Wall Street Target
$29.00
(+18.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.0%
Profit Margin
-2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.41
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$24.44
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$24.46
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.36
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.4%)
$105.04
(+331%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 24.4%)
$46.99
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 24.4%)
$39.94
(+64%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 12:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BWIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth Krystyn
SELL
119987 shares
2026-03-06
Paul Eugene Sparks
BUY
15200 shares
2026-03-03
Paul Eugene Sparks
BUY
29000 shares
2026-03-02
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