BWIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BWIN - The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$27.74
1.05 (3.93%)
▲
5d:
+4.8%
30d:
+3.08%
90d:
+22.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BWIN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BWIN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.34
Based on 14.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.39
5.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWIN is currently trading at $27.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.19 to $27.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWIN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.66, while resistance sits at $29.17. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+11.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWIN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.66, while resistance sits at $29.17. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+11.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.19 -
$27.60
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.0% growth with 28.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.19 -
$27.60
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.66
Resistance Level
$29.17
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.09
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.0%
Profit Margin
-2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.85
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$30.00
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$31.20
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.86
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 24.1%)
$99.04
(+257%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 24.1%)
$52.97
(+91%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 24.1%)
$45.02
(+62%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BWIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth Krystyn
SELL
119987 shares
2026-03-06
Paul Eugene Sparks
BUY
15200 shares
2026-03-03
Paul Eugene Sparks
BUY
29000 shares
2026-03-02
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