BWIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BWIN - The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$27.32
0.82 (3.09%)
▲
5d:
+0.85%
30d:
+41.04%
90d:
+27.72%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BWIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BWIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.23
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.33
6.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWIN is currently trading at $27.32, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.34 to $26.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWIN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.13, while resistance sits at $28.46. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: BWIN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.33 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWIN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.13, while resistance sits at $28.46. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: BWIN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.33 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$19.34 -
$26.87
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.7% growth with 28.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.34 -
$26.87
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.13
Resistance Level
$28.46
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.90
Wall Street Target
$30.33
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.0%
Profit Margin
-2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 9.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.33
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$29.38
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$30.47
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.39
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.4%)
$105.07
(+285%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 24.4%)
$52.59
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 24.4%)
$44.70
(+64%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BWIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth Krystyn
SELL
119987 shares
2026-03-06
Paul Eugene Sparks
BUY
15200 shares
2026-03-03
Paul Eugene Sparks
BUY
29000 shares
2026-03-02
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