BWIN
The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
INSURANCE AGENTS, BROKERS & SERVICE
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The Baldwin Insurance Group (BWIN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$32.04
-0.14 (-0.44%)
▼
5d:
-0.31%
30d:
+0.53%
90d:
+3.86%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (61%)
Quality Score
64/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$31.84 – $32.03
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.9x
STRETCHED
vs 10.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$32.42
+1.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$31.83 / $32.25
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BWIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.08
0.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWIN is currently trading at $32.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.84 to $32.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWIN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BWIN scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWIN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BWIN scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$31.84 -
$32.03
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$31.84 -
$32.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$31.83
Resistance Level
$32.25
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($32.42)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.5% growth with 31.4% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 62/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.92
Wall Street Target
$32.42
(+1.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.0%
Profit Margin
-6.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.5% premium
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 10.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.12
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$36.34
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$38.70
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$32.05
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 26.1%)
$98.65
(+208%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 26.1%)
$64.18
(+100%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 26.1%)
$53.15
(+66%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BWIN)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Mar 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment prevails on $BWIN with no new news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
Strong interest and positive expectations towards $BWIN
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BWIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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