BWIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BWIN - The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$31.90
0.45 (1.43%)
▲
5d:
+1.24%
30d:
+23.21%
90d:
+56.6%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BWIN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BWIN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.07
Based on 13.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWIN is currently trading at $31.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.72 to $30.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWIN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BWIN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWIN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BWIN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$26.72 -
$30.60
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($32.22)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.6% growth with 30.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.72 -
$30.60
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.40
Resistance Level
$32.57
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.84
Wall Street Target
$32.22
(+1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.0%
Profit Margin
-4.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 10.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.64
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$37.62
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$40.86
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.82
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 23.7%)
$94.38
(+196%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 23.7%)
$60.39
(+89%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 23.7%)
$47.02
(+47%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BWIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth Krystyn
SELL
119987 shares
2026-03-06
Paul Eugene Sparks
BUY
15200 shares
2026-03-03
Paul Eugene Sparks
BUY
29000 shares
2026-03-02
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