BYD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BYD - Boyd Gaming Corporation

HOTELS & MOTELS
$85.06
-1.99 (-2.29%) ▼
5d: -2.27%
30d: -3.32%
90d: -2.17%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your BYD Gains
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BYD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.89
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.34
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BYD is currently trading at $85.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.26 to $88.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BYD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $84.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.81 (+12.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $86.26 - $88.85
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.9%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($95.81)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.8% growth with None% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $86.26 - $88.85
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $84.46
Resistance Level $91.41
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.00
Wall Street Target $95.81 (+12.6%)
Earnings Growth (YoY) -4.9%
Profit Margin 44.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.8% premium
PE vs Historical 11.0 vs 10.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $85.74 (+1%)
2-Year Target $86.43 (+2%)
3-Year Target $87.12 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→11) PE COMPRESSION $84.76 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.6%) $211.01 (+148%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 9.6%) $111.95 (+32%)
Bear: (PE: 9.3, Growth: 9.6%) $95.16 (+12%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.54
Bull Case $49.94 (-41%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 4.4
Base Case $45.40 (-47%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 4.0
Bear Case $61.74 (-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 02, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen S Thompson SELL 19530 shares 2026-02-27
Josh Hirsberg SELL 23924 shares 2026-02-26
William R Boyd SELL 30000 shares 2026-02-18

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Advanced BYD Option Strategies

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