BYD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BYD - Boyd Gaming Corporation
$86.55
0.34 (0.40%)
▲
5d:
-2.58%
30d:
-0.32%
90d:
+0.05%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
🚀 STRONG BUY: BYD shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 3th percentile) and market pricing in only 0.9% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
🚀 STRONG BUY: BYD shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 3th percentile) and market pricing in only 0.9% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$116.81
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BYD is currently trading at $86.55, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.00 to $88.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BYD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BYD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$86.00 -
$88.65
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
3th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 3th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($93.94)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.00 -
$88.65
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.92
(4.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.09
Resistance Level
$91.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.99
Wall Street Target
$93.94
(+9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Profit Margin
44.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$86.98
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$87.76
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$88.55
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$86.23
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.7%)
$225.47
(+162%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 9.7%)
$113.75
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 9.7%)
$96.69
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 3.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.62
Bull Case
$48.05
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 4.3
Base Case
$43.68
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 3.9
Bear Case
$59.41
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 10:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BYD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen S Thompson
SELL
19530 shares
2026-02-27
Josh Hirsberg
SELL
23924 shares
2026-02-26
William R Boyd
SELL
30000 shares
2026-02-18
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Advanced BYD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BYD price and gamma walls.
