BYD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BYD - Boyd Gaming Corporation
$82.48
-0.29 (-0.35%)
▼
5d:
+0.13%
30d:
-6.45%
90d:
+4.29%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BYD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BYD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$115.31
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BYD is currently trading at $82.48, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.27 to $88.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BYD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $81.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BYD scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.81 (+16.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BYD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $81.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BYD scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.81 (+16.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$83.27 -
$88.47
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
36th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 36th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($95.81)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 73/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.27 -
$88.47
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.17
(3.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.21
Resistance Level
$88.11
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.63
Wall Street Target
$95.81
(+16.2%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Profit Margin
44.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.15
(0%)
2-Year Target
$81.82
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$81.49
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$82.06
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.6%)
$205.43
(+149%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 9.6%)
$108.55
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 9.6%)
$92.26
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 3.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.54
Bull Case
$45.52
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 4.0
Base Case
$41.38
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 3.7
Bear Case
$56.28
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.6 to 10.7
Stabilization Target:
$83.06
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 19, 2026 12:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BYD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen S Thompson
SELL
19530 shares
2026-02-27
Josh Hirsberg
SELL
23924 shares
2026-02-26
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