CAAP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAAP - Corporacion America Airports S.A.
$23.46
0.19 (0.82%)
▲
5d:
-4.17%
30d:
-6.24%
90d:
-7.16%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CAAP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CAAP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.18
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.81
12.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAAP is currently trading at $23.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.08 to $25.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAAP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $22.02, while resistance sits at $25.51.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.29 (+37.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAAP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $22.02, while resistance sits at $25.51.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.29 (+37.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.08 -
$25.89
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.6% below Wall St target ($32.29)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.08 -
$25.89
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.02
Resistance Level
$25.51
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.43
Wall Street Target
$32.29
(+37.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Profit Margin
13.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 11.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.85
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$22.26
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$21.68
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$23.49
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 18.6%)
$75.33
(+221%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 18.6%)
$39.15
(+67%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 18.6%)
$33.27
(+42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.76
Bull Case
$32.71
(+39%)
Analyst growth 27.8%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$29.74
(+27%)
Market implied 27.8%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$15.82
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 11.3
Stabilization Target:
$25.42
(+8.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 5:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAAP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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