CAAP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAAP - Corporacion America Airports S.A.
$26.29
-0.30 (-1.13%)
▼
5d:
-6.31%
30d:
+4.04%
90d:
+5.03%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CAAP is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CAAP is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.41
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAAP is currently trading at $26.29, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.92 to $27.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAAP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.68, while resistance sits at $28.73.
Market Sentiment: CAAP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.43 (+22.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAAP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.68, while resistance sits at $28.73.
Market Sentiment: CAAP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.43 (+22.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$24.92 -
$27.05
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.0% below Wall St target ($32.43)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.92 -
$27.05
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.69
Resistance Level
$28.73
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.67
Wall Street Target
$32.43
(+22.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
88.0%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.83
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$27.07
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$27.31
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.68
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.5%)
$72.53
(+173%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 13.5%)
$38.87
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 13.5%)
$33.04
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.74
Bull Case
$39.66
(+49%)
Analyst growth 30.9%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$36.06
(+36%)
Market implied 30.9%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$18.73
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAAP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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