OMAB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OMAB - Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte S.A.B. de C.V
$98.73
0.60 (0.61%)
▲
5d:
-0.48%
30d:
-9.68%
90d:
-0.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OMAB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OMAB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$185.30
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$115.05
14.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OMAB is currently trading at $98.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.28 to $107.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $97.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.65 (+24.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $97.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.65 (+24.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$99.28 -
$107.72
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.2% below Wall St target ($122.65)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$99.28 -
$107.72
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$97.40
Resistance Level
$104.57
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.68
Wall Street Target
$122.65
(+24.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Profit Margin
33.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$96.36
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$94.05
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$91.79
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$99.02
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 19.7%)
$292.66
(+196%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 19.7%)
$169.48
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 19.7%)
$144.06
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.64
Bull Case
$137.41
(+39%)
Analyst growth 27.3%, PE expands to 16.3
Base Case
$124.92
(+27%)
Market implied 27.3%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$66.73
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$106.50
(+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 9:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OMAB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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