OMAB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OMAB - Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte S.A.B. de C.V
$94.18
-2.43 (-2.52%)
▼
5d:
-6.81%
30d:
-3.52%
90d:
-15.71%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OMAB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OMAB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$184.13
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$114.33
17.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OMAB is currently trading at $94.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $97.34 to $102.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OMAB scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.28 (+29.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OMAB scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.28 (+29.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$97.34 -
$102.02
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.8% below Wall St target ($122.28)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$97.34 -
$102.02
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.24
Resistance Level
$103.57
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.17
Wall Street Target
$122.28
(+29.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Profit Margin
33.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 12.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$90.70
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$87.34
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$84.11
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$94.11
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 19.9%)
$296.41
(+215%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 19.9%)
$162.33
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 19.9%)
$137.98
(+47%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.25
Bull Case
$143.34
(+52%)
Analyst growth 34.9%, PE expands to 17.0
Base Case
$130.31
(+38%)
Market implied 34.9%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$65.69
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$105.38
(+11.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 1:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OMAB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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