OMAB
Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte S.A.B. de C.V
Airports, Flying Fields & Airport Terminal Services
OMAB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$110.16
+0.42 (+0.38%)
▲
5d:
+4.15%
30d:
+20.09%
90d:
+0.78%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
31/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$91.49 – $105.35
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.7x
FAIR
vs 12.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$116.41
+5.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$96.86 / $111.17
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OMAB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$194.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.47
8.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OMAB is currently trading at $110.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.49 to $105.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $111.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OMAB scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $111.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OMAB scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$91.49 -
$105.35
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$91.49 -
$105.35
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$96.86
Resistance Level
$111.17
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($116.41)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.71
Wall Street Target
$116.41
(+5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Profit Margin
31.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$113.80
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$117.55
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$121.43
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$109.82
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 28.6%)
$339.19
(+208%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 28.6%)
$234.16
(+113%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 28.6%)
$199.04
(+81%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.41
Bull Case
$151.31
(+37%)
Analyst growth 25.3%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$137.56
(+25%)
Market implied 25.3%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$74.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (OMAB)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Aug 18, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on OMAB are bearish (sentiment score -0.51) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 4:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OMAB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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