OMAB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OMAB - Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte S.A.B. de C.V
$106.06
-1.98 (-1.84%)
▼
5d:
-6.18%
30d:
+10.57%
90d:
-8.44%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OMAB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OMAB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$195.07
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$121.12
12.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OMAB is currently trading at $106.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $101.17 to $112.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $104.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $124.03 (+14.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $104.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $124.03 (+14.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$101.17 -
$112.88
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($124.03)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$101.17 -
$112.88
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$95.69
Resistance Level
$104.16
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.21
Wall Street Target
$124.03
(+14.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.2%
Profit Margin
32.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 12.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$106.64
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$105.25
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$103.88
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$108.04
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.6%)
$329.30
(+205%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 19.6%)
$184.63
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 19.6%)
$156.93
(+45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.30
Bull Case
$167.35
(+55%)
Analyst growth 40.4%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case
$152.13
(+41%)
Market implied 40.4%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$73.66
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 12.7
Stabilization Target:
$112.36
(+4.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 12:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OMAB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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