OMAB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OMAB - Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte S.A.B. de C.V
$98.64
3.74 (3.94%)
â˛
5d:
+11.14%
30d:
-3.72%
90d:
-5.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: OMAB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: OMAB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$177.15
Based on 12.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$110.00
10.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OMAB is currently trading at $98.64, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.66 to $99.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $99.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $117.46 (+19.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $99.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $117.46 (+19.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$91.66 -
$99.88
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($117.46)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$91.66 -
$99.88
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$87.31
Resistance Level
$99.22
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.20
Wall Street Target
$117.46
(+19.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Profit Margin
33.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.05
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$97.46
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$96.88
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â12)
$98.50
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 20.4%)
$280.30
(+184%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 20.4%)
$172.13
(+75%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 20.4%)
$146.31
(+48%)
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Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.24
Bull Case
$135.31
(+37%)
Analyst growth 29.6%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$123.01
(+25%)
Market implied 29.6%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$64.53
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 12.4
Stabilization Target:
$100.29
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OMAB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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