PAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAC - Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico, S.A.B. de C.V. Amer. Dep. Shares (each rep. 10 Ser. B shares)
$222.42
2.13 (0.97%)
▲
5d:
+9.08%
30d:
+5.21%
90d:
+2.84%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 19, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$312.64
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$194.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAC is currently trading at $222.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $199.13 to $213.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.6) is in line with its historical norms (17.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $225.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAC scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $246.20 (+10.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $225.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAC scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $246.20 (+10.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$199.13 -
$213.76
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
29.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($246.20)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with 21.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$199.13 -
$213.76
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$192.65
Resistance Level
$225.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.56
Wall Street Target
$246.20
(+10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.1%
Profit Margin
29.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 17.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$224.42
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$226.44
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$228.48
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$222.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.3%)
$346.72
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 11.3%)
$306.59
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 11.3%)
$260.60
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.68
Bull Case
$262.75
(+18%)
Analyst growth 8.4%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case
$238.87
(+7%)
Market implied 8.4%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case
$149.80
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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