PAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAC - Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico, S.A.B. de C.V. Amer. Dep. Shares (each rep. 10 Ser. B shares)
$203.46
-1.10 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
-2.32%
30d:
-5.35%
90d:
-11.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$316.30
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$196.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAC is currently trading at $203.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $204.62 to $215.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.1) is in line with its historical norms (17.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $201.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $256.20 (+25.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $201.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $256.20 (+25.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$204.62 -
$215.29
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.9% below Wall St target ($256.20)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$204.62 -
$215.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$201.43
Resistance Level
$216.06
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.06
Wall Street Target
$256.20
(+25.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.4%
Profit Margin
30.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 17.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$198.58
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$193.81
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$189.16
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$203.70
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.3%)
$352.13
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 11.3%)
$280.46
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 11.3%)
$238.39
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.70
Bull Case
$266.34
(+31%)
Analyst growth 18.4%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$242.13
(+19%)
Market implied 18.4%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$139.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.1 to 17.3
Stabilization Target:
$219.10
(+7.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 5:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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