PAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAC - Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico, S.A.B. de C.V. Amer. Dep. Shares (each rep. 10 Ser. B shares)
$232.77
-2.87 (-1.22%)
▼
5d:
-8.51%
30d:
+4.97%
90d:
-5.15%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 20, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PAC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PAC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$310.43
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$192.75
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAC is currently trading at $232.77, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $231.76 to $252.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.2) is in line with its historical norms (16.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $223.47, while resistance sits at $246.66.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $277.62 (+19.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $223.47, while resistance sits at $246.66.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $277.62 (+19.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$231.76 -
$252.61
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($277.62)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$231.76 -
$252.61
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$223.48
Resistance Level
$246.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.21
Wall Street Target
$277.62
(+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.7%
Profit Margin
30.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 16.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$229.51
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$226.30
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$223.13
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$232.63
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.1%)
$373.88
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 6.1%)
$278.26
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 6.1%)
$236.52
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.31
Bull Case
$329.10
(+41%)
Analyst growth 27.0%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$299.19
(+29%)
Market implied 27.0%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$160.24
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.2 to 16.9
Stabilization Target:
$242.68
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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