PAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAC - Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico, S.A.B. de C.V. Amer. Dep. Shares (each rep. 10 Ser. B shares)
$244.10
-4.82 (-1.94%)
▼
5d:
-1.35%
30d:
+-0.0%
90d:
+4.63%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 20, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PAC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PAC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$327.65
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$203.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAC is currently trading at $244.10, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $231.51 to $248.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.5) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $246.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $270.67 (+10.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $246.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $270.67 (+10.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$231.51 -
$248.36
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($270.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$231.51 -
$248.36
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$223.48
Resistance Level
$246.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.47
Wall Street Target
$270.67
(+10.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.7%
Profit Margin
30.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 17.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$241.66
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$239.24
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$236.85
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$244.46
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.8%)
$392.86
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 6.8%)
$297.10
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 6.8%)
$252.53
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.52
Bull Case
$359.87
(+45%)
Analyst growth 28.6%, PE expands to 24.3
Base Case
$327.16
(+31%)
Market implied 28.6%, PE stable at 22.1
Bear Case
$172.93
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.5 to 17.0
Stabilization Target:
$251.94
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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