PAC
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico, S.A.B. de C.V. Amer. Dep. Shares (each rep. 10 Ser. B shares)
Airports, Flying Fields & Airport Terminal Services
PAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$238.02
-1.57 (-0.66%)
▼
5d:
-3.21%
30d:
+21.14%
90d:
+15.0%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
29/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$204.31 – $237.51
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.1x
FAIR
vs 17.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$246.20
+3.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$221.50 / $249.82
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$295.87
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$183.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAC is currently trading at $238.02, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $204.31 to $237.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.1) compared to its historical average (17.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $221.50, while resistance sits at $249.82.
Market Sentiment: PAC scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $221.50, while resistance sits at $249.82.
Market Sentiment: PAC scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$204.31 -
$237.51
Company Quality Score
29/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$204.31 -
$237.51
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$221.50
Resistance Level
$249.82
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($246.20)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.6% growth with 21.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 29/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.12
Wall Street Target
$246.20
(+3.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.1%
Profit Margin
29.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
19.1 vs 17.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$246.59
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$255.47
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$264.66
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$238.07
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.4%)
$323.56
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 9.4%)
$311.52
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.3, Growth: 9.4%)
$264.79
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.75
Bull Case
$279.20
(+17%)
Analyst growth 5.9%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$253.82
(+7%)
Market implied 5.9%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$162.92
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PAC)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Nov 8, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on PAC are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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