PAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAC - Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico, S.A.B. de C.V. Amer. Dep. Shares (each rep. 10 Ser. B shares)
$200.90
4.29 (2.18%)
▲
5d:
-6.96%
30d:
-3.62%
90d:
-21.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 19, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$314.47
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$195.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAC is currently trading at $200.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $201.93 to $211.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $193.11, while resistance sits at $217.96.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $254.49 (+26.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $193.11, while resistance sits at $217.96.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $254.49 (+26.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$201.93 -
$211.45
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($254.49)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$201.93 -
$211.45
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$193.11
Resistance Level
$217.96
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.86
Wall Street Target
$254.49
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.4%
Profit Margin
30.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 17.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$195.68
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$190.59
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$185.63
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$201.28
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 11.3%)
$356.14
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 11.3%)
$276.93
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 11.3%)
$235.39
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.83
Bull Case
$278.64
(+39%)
Analyst growth 28.8%, PE expands to 22.0
Base Case
$253.31
(+26%)
Market implied 28.8%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$133.69
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 17.2
Stabilization Target:
$217.84
(+8.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 11:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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