PAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAC - Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico, S.A.B. de C.V. Amer. Dep. Shares (each rep. 10 Ser. B shares)
$218.14
0.79 (0.36%)
▲
5d:
+0.86%
30d:
-14.02%
90d:
-12.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PAC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PAC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$144.86
Based on -4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAC is currently trading at $218.14, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $216.36 to $245.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.1) compared to its historical average (17.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $212.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $266.49 (+22.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $212.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $266.49 (+22.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$216.36 -
$245.83
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.2% below Wall St target ($266.49)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.7% growth with 3.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$216.36 -
$245.83
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$212.01
Resistance Level
$222.39
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.14
Wall Street Target
$266.49
(+22.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.4%
Profit Margin
30.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.7% premium
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 17.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$230.57
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$243.72
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$257.61
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$218.70
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -13.2%)
$163.66
(+-25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -13.2%)
$159.02
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -13.2%)
$135.01
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.69
Bull Case
$244.70
(+13%)
Analyst growth 1.3%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$222.46
(+2%)
Market implied 1.3%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$149.31
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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