Corporacion America Airports (CAAP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAAP - Corporacion America Airports S.A.
$25.43
0.27 (1.07%)
▲
5d:
+5.69%
30d:
+5.87%
90d:
+1.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CAAP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CAAP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.72
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.53
4.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAAP is currently trading at $25.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.86 to $25.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAAP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.40 (+27.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAAP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.40 (+27.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.86 -
$25.27
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.4% below Wall St target ($32.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.86 -
$25.27
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.63
Resistance Level
$25.81
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.23
Wall Street Target
$32.40
(+27.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Profit Margin
13.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.46
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$25.48
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$25.51
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.45
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.2%)
$74.31
(+192%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 18.2%)
$42.01
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 18.2%)
$35.71
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.79
Bull Case
$35.02
(+38%)
Analyst growth 26.5%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$31.84
(+25%)
Market implied 26.5%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$17.11
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 3:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAAP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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