Corporacion America Airports (CAAP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAAP - Corporacion America Airports S.A.
$24.28
-1.16 (-4.56%)
▼
5d:
+3.1%
30d:
+5.15%
90d:
-3.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CAAP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CAAP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.72
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.53
8.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAAP is currently trading at $24.28, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.49 to $24.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAAP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $23.35, while resistance sits at $26.31. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.34 (+33.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAAP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $23.35, while resistance sits at $26.31. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.34 (+33.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.49 -
$24.69
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 33.2% below Wall St target ($32.34)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.49 -
$24.69
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.35
Resistance Level
$26.31
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.72
Wall Street Target
$32.34
(+33.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Profit Margin
13.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.92
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$23.56
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$23.20
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$24.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 18.2%)
$76.34
(+214%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 18.2%)
$40.11
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 18.2%)
$34.09
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.76
Bull Case
$36.01
(+48%)
Analyst growth 28.7%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$32.74
(+35%)
Market implied 28.7%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$17.30
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$25.37
(+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 1:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAAP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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