CAAP
Corporacion America Airports S.A.
Airports, Flying Fields & Airport Terminal Services
Corporacion America Airports (CAAP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$24.83
-0.22 (-0.88%)
âŧ
5d:
+4.64%
30d:
+0.28%
90d:
-0.24%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (65%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$23.96 â $25.11
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.0x
FAIR
vs 11.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$32.40
+30.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$22.78 / $25.19
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CAAP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.72
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.53
6.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAAP is currently trading at $24.83, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.96 to $25.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAAP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.40 (+30.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAAP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.40 (+30.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$23.96 -
$25.11
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$23.96 -
$25.11
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$22.78
Resistance Level
$25.19
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.5% below Wall St target ($32.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.96
Wall Street Target
$32.40
(+30.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Profit Margin
13.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.68
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$24.53
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$24.39
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â11)
$24.92
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.2%)
$74.31
(+199%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 18.2%)
$41.02
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 18.2%)
$34.87
(+40%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.79
Bull Case
$34.87
(+40%)
Analyst growth 26.5%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$31.70
(+28%)
Market implied 26.5%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$17.03
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$25.37
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CAAP)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 19, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment dominates $CAAP on StockTwits with no new news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 4:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAAP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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