Corporacion America Airports (CAAP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAAP - Corporacion America Airports S.A.
$24.59
-0.19 (-0.77%)
▼
5d:
+1.57%
30d:
-1.21%
90d:
-6.64%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CAAP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CAAP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.80
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.57
7.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAAP is currently trading at $24.59, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.59 to $25.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.9) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAAP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CAAP scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.27 (+31.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAAP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CAAP scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.27 (+31.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$23.59 -
$25.31
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.2% below Wall St target ($32.27)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.59 -
$25.31
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.02
Resistance Level
$25.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.93
Wall Street Target
$32.27
(+31.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Profit Margin
13.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.37
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$24.15
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$23.93
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$24.52
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 18.6%)
$75.70
(+208%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 18.6%)
$41.03
(+67%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 18.6%)
$34.88
(+42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.78
Bull Case
$34.44
(+40%)
Analyst growth 26.4%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case
$31.31
(+27%)
Market implied 26.4%, PE stable at 13.9
Bear Case
$16.85
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$25.19
(+2.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 9:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAAP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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