ASR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASR - Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S.A. de C.V. American Depositary Shares
$262.58
3.42 (1.32%)
▲
5d:
-0.76%
30d:
-2.69%
90d:
-14.95%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$541.85
Based on 12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$336.45
22.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASR is currently trading at $262.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $265.32 to $278.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (12.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $255.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $343.64 (+30.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $255.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $343.64 (+30.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$265.32 -
$278.31
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.9% below Wall St target ($343.64)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$265.32 -
$278.31
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$255.93
Resistance Level
$276.98
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.10
Wall Street Target
$343.64
(+30.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Profit Margin
26.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 12.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$250.24
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$238.48
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$227.27
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$262.12
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 21.0%)
$840.43
(+220%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 21.0%)
$464.73
(+77%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 21.0%)
$395.02
(+50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $19.13
Bull Case
$352.58
(+34%)
Analyst growth 23.7%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case
$320.53
(+22%)
Market implied 23.7%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$176.23
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 12.8
Stabilization Target:
$302.85
(+15.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 4:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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