ASR
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S.A. de C.V. American Depositary Shares
Airports, Flying Fields & Airport Terminal Services
ASR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$268.42
+1.60 (+0.60%)
▲
5d:
+3.96%
30d:
+13.05%
90d:
-2.29%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
23/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$235.69 – $259.38
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.9x
FAIR
vs 12.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$324.22
+20.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$244.08 / $268.62
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$507.86
Based on 13.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$315.34
14.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASR is currently trading at $268.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $235.69 to $259.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.9) is in line with its historical norms (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $268.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASR scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $324.22 (+20.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $268.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASR scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $324.22 (+20.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$235.69 -
$259.38
Company Quality Score
23/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$235.69 -
$259.38
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$244.08
Resistance Level
$268.62
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.8% below Wall St target ($324.22)
- WARNING: Composite score 23/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.94
Wall Street Target
$324.22
(+20.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Profit Margin
25.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$266.27
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$264.14
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$262.03
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$267.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 22.6%)
$822.42
(+206%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 22.6%)
$494.34
(+84%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 22.6%)
$420.19
(+57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.85
Bull Case
$350.11
(+30%)
Analyst growth 19.3%, PE expands to 15.6
Base Case
$318.28
(+19%)
Market implied 19.3%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$181.44
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$274.33
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ASR)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
May 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on ASR are bullish (sentiment score +0.18) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 4:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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