ASR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASR - Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S.A. de C.V. American Depositary Shares
$231.39
-3.80 (-1.62%)
▼
5d:
-2.9%
30d:
-7.45%
90d:
-25.55%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
25d
Get Alerted When ASR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$548.05
Based on 13.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$340.30
32.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASR is currently trading at $231.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $241.42 to $258.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $226.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ASR scores 16/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $335.22 (+44.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $226.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ASR scores 16/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $335.22 (+44.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$241.42 -
$258.08
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (16/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.9% below Wall St target ($335.22)
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$241.42 -
$258.08
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$226.34
Resistance Level
$247.30
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.79
Wall Street Target
$335.22
(+44.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Profit Margin
26.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 12.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$213.34
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$196.70
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$181.36
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$231.53
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 22.7%)
$890.92
(+285%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 22.7%)
$427.61
(+85%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 22.7%)
$363.47
(+57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.42
Bull Case
$331.92
(+43%)
Analyst growth 28.3%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$301.74
(+30%)
Market implied 28.3%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$159.93
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$295.40
(+27.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 1:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ASR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Airports & Air Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Airports & Air Services by analyst ratings.
