ASR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASR - Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S.A. de C.V. American Depositary Shares
$251.77
0.61 (0.24%)
▲
5d:
-2.05%
30d:
-8.35%
90d:
-11.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$558.26
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$346.64
27.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASR is currently trading at $251.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $254.61 to $271.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.6) compared to its historical average (12.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $249.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $339.20 (+34.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $249.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $339.20 (+34.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$254.61 -
$271.70
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.7% below Wall St target ($339.20)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$254.61 -
$271.70
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$249.58
Resistance Level
$261.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.56
Wall Street Target
$339.20
(+34.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Profit Margin
26.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 12.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$236.92
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$222.94
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$209.78
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$252.33
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 22.4%)
$883.03
(+251%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 22.4%)
$462.25
(+84%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 22.4%)
$392.91
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $19.34
Bull Case
$340.63
(+35%)
Analyst growth 23.3%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$309.67
(+23%)
Market implied 23.3%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$170.79
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.6 to 12.7
Stabilization Target:
$302.83
(+20.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 9:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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