ASR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASR - Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S.A. de C.V. American Depositary Shares
$300.24
-7.97 (-2.59%)
▼
5d:
+4.58%
30d:
-3.3%
90d:
-5.43%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$549.61
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$341.26
12.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASR is currently trading at $300.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $287.07 to $306.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.8) compared to its historical average (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $275.00, while resistance sits at $310.68.
Market Sentiment: ASR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $363.06 (+20.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $275.00, while resistance sits at $310.68.
Market Sentiment: ASR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $363.06 (+20.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$287.07 -
$306.62
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.9% below Wall St target ($363.06)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$287.07 -
$306.62
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$275.00
Resistance Level
$310.68
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.82
Wall Street Target
$363.06
(+20.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-20.0%
Profit Margin
26.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 13.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$287.63
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$275.55
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$263.98
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$299.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.3%)
$869.16
(+190%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 16.3%)
$471.84
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 16.3%)
$401.06
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.95
Bull Case
$454.31
(+51%)
Analyst growth 34.0%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$413.01
(+38%)
Market implied 34.0%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$209.58
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.8 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$340.27
(+13.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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