ASR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASR - Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S.A. de C.V. American Depositary Shares
$252.80
4.84 (1.95%)
▲
5d:
+9.87%
30d:
+3.31%
90d:
-6.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
5d
Get Alerted When ASR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$542.44
Based on 14.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$336.81
24.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASR is currently trading at $252.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $233.63 to $246.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (12.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $256.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASR scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $326.86 (+29.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $256.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASR scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $326.86 (+29.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$233.63 -
$246.58
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.3% below Wall St target ($326.86)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$233.63 -
$246.58
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$226.19
Resistance Level
$256.32
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.93
Wall Street Target
$326.86
(+29.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Profit Margin
26.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 12.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$242.94
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$233.47
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$224.36
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$252.46
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 24.0%)
$875.33
(+246%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 24.0%)
$481.79
(+91%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 24.0%)
$409.52
(+62%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.41
Bull Case
$342.63
(+36%)
Analyst growth 25.6%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case
$311.49
(+23%)
Market implied 25.6%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$168.61
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 12.3
Stabilization Target:
$284.46
(+12.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ASR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Airports & Air Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Airports & Air Services by analyst ratings.
