CBOE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CBOE - Cboe Global Markets, Inc.
$294.91
-0.99 (-0.33%)
▼
5d:
+4.61%
30d:
-19.58%
90d:
+1.73%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CBOE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.6% annual earnings decline despite 54% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CBOE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.6% annual earnings decline despite 54% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$446.10
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$276.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CBOE is currently trading at $294.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $299.37 to $361.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.1) compared to its historical average (23.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 54.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBOE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $269.96, while resistance sits at $330.43.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $328.00 (+10.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBOE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $269.96, while resistance sits at $330.43.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $328.00 (+10.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$299.37 -
$361.68
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($328.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$299.37 -
$361.68
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$269.96
Resistance Level
$330.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.11
Wall Street Target
$328.00
(+10.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.4%
Profit Margin
25.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 23.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$282.29
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$269.30
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$256.92
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→23)
$296.43
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 7.0%)
$395.58
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.0%)
$362.87
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 7.0%)
$308.44
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.15
Bull Case
$387.17
(+31%)
Analyst growth 21.1%, PE expands to 26.3
Base Case
$351.97
(+19%)
Market implied 21.1%, PE stable at 23.9
Bear Case
$197.61
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.1 to 23.2
Stabilization Target:
$341.41
(+15.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 12, 2026 4:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CBOE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Allen Wilkinson
SELL
248 shares
2026-02-23
Alexander Matturri Jr
SELL
1500 shares
2026-02-18
Edward J Fitzpatrick
SELL
3947 shares
2026-02-18
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