CCAP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCAP - Crescent Capital BDC, Inc. Common stock
$11.27
0.08 (0.76%)
▲
5d:
+1.35%
30d:
-1.49%
90d:
-13.37%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCAP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCAP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.75
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCAP is currently trading at $11.27, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.14 to $11.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.6) compared to its historical average (8.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCAP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+24.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCAP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+24.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.14 -
$11.47
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.2% below Wall St target ($14.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.14 -
$11.47
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.06
Resistance Level
$11.46
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.56
Wall Street Target
$14.00
(+24.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-14.9%
Profit Margin
9.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 8.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.84
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$10.43
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$10.03
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$11.29
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -3.7%)
$29.03
(+158%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: -3.7%)
$10.07
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: -3.7%)
$8.56
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.40
Bull Case
$24.61
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.8
Base Case
$22.37
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.0
Bear Case
$7.61
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 8.5
Stabilization Target:
$12.68
(+12.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCAP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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