CCAP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCAP - Crescent Capital BDC, Inc. Common stock
$10.71
0.03 (0.28%)
▲
5d:
-3.95%
30d:
-0.65%
90d:
-6.38%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CCAP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CCAP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.45
Based on -0.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCAP is currently trading at $10.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.80 to $11.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCAP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CCAP scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.64 (+18.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCAP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CCAP scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.64 (+18.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.80 -
$11.42
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($12.64)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.80 -
$11.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.59
Resistance Level
$11.71
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.56
Wall Street Target
$12.64
(+18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-14.9%
Profit Margin
-2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.41
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$10.12
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$9.84
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$10.67
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -4.5%)
$24.80
(+132%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: -4.5%)
$9.34
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: -4.5%)
$7.94
(-26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.39
Bull Case
$23.80
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.5
Base Case
$21.64
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.7
Bear Case
$7.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$11.62
(+8.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCAP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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