CDRO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CDRO - Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. Ordinary Shares

Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation
$9.13
0.08 (0.88%) ▲
5d: -0.44%
30d: +1.11%
90d: -3.69%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CDRO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.47
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.33
31.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CDRO is currently trading at $9.13, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.97 to $9.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (17.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CDRO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CDRO scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.67 (+38.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $8.97 - $9.30
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 38.7% below Wall St target ($12.67)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.97 - $9.30
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.83
Resistance Level $9.28
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.82
Wall Street Target $12.67 (+38.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 15.8%
Profit Margin 0.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.8 vs 17.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $8.58 (-6%)
2-Year Target $8.07 (-12%)
3-Year Target $7.58 (-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→18) $9.16 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 69.9%) $41.73 (+357%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 69.9%) $30.81 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 12.6, Growth: 69.9%) $26.19 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 26.74 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.34
Bull Case $11.02 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.1
Base Case $9.13 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 26.7
Bear Case $6.98 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.8 to 17.9
Stabilization Target: $11.03 (+20.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +20.8%
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Last updated: August 24, 2026 3:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:37 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Net
NEUTRAL

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