CLFD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CLFD - Clearfield, Inc.
$32.11
1.85 (6.11%)
▲
5d:
-0.03%
30d:
-5.48%
90d:
+9.11%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CLFD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CLFD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.97
19.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CLFD is currently trading at $32.11, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.22 to $36.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.1) is in line with its historical norms (22.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLFD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.75 (+36.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLFD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.75 (+36.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$30.22 -
$36.09
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 36.3% below Wall St target ($43.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.22 -
$36.09
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.30
Resistance Level
$32.41
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.14
Wall Street Target
$43.75
(+36.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-15.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-85.5%
Profit Margin
-5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.1 vs 22.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.79
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$31.47
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$31.16
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→23)
$32.08
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 107.1%)
$108.37
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 107.1%)
$101.45
(+216%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 107.1%)
$86.23
(+169%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 18.35 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.75
Bull Case
$38.77
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 19.3
Base Case
$32.11
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$24.56
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.1 to 22.8
Stabilization Target:
$33.06
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 10:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CLFD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Donald R Hayward
SELL
3595 shares
2026-02-19
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