Clearfield (CLFD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CLFD - Clearfield, Inc.
$30.02
1.74 (6.15%)
▲
5d:
+6.0%
30d:
+3.2%
90d:
-24.93%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: CLFD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 12.3% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: CLFD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 12.3% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.31
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CLFD is currently trading at $30.02, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.51 to $30.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.5) compared to its historical average (23.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLFD is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: CLFD scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.25 (+34.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLFD is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: CLFD scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.25 (+34.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$27.51 -
$30.10
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.1% below Wall St target ($40.25)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 12.3% growth expectation is conservative given 104% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.51 -
$30.10
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.76
Resistance Level
$30.24
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.54
Wall Street Target
$40.25
(+34.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
104.1%
Profit Margin
-4.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.3% premium
PE vs Historical
33.5 vs 23.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.71
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$37.86
(+26%)
3-Year Target
$42.52
(+42%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.04
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.5, Growth: 108.1%)
$101.32
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 108.1%)
$60.93
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 108.1%)
$51.79
(+73%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 24.33 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.23
Bull Case
$36.25
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.6
Base Case
$30.02
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 24.3
Bear Case
$22.97
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 6:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CLFD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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