CLFD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CLFD - Clearfield, Inc.
$32.74
-1.03 (-3.05%)
▼
5d:
-6.35%
30d:
-13.36%
90d:
+20.54%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CLFD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CLFD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.33
18.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CLFD is currently trading at $32.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.83 to $40.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.6) is in line with its historical norms (23.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLFD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.67, while resistance sits at $40.80. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: CLFD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.75 (+33.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLFD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.67, while resistance sits at $40.80. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: CLFD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.75 (+33.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$34.83 -
$40.27
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 33.6% below Wall St target ($43.75)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.4%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.83 -
$40.27
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.67
Resistance Level
$40.80
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.58
Wall Street Target
$43.75
(+33.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-15.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-85.5%
Profit Margin
-5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.6 vs 23.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.54
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$32.35
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$32.15
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→23)
$32.75
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.6, Growth: 107.1%)
$110.50
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 107.1%)
$106.59
(+226%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 107.1%)
$90.60
(+177%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 20.45 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.60
Bull Case
$39.53
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.5
Base Case
$32.74
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$25.05
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.6 to 23.0
Stabilization Target:
$33.35
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 5:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CLFD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Donald R Hayward
SELL
3595 shares
2026-02-19
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