Clearfield (CLFD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CLFD - Clearfield, Inc.
$33.48
1.31 (4.07%)
▲
5d:
+7.76%
30d:
+16.57%
90d:
-4.23%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 24, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CLFD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CLFD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.53
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CLFD is currently trading at $33.48, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.69 to $31.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 37.4) compared to its historical average (24.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLFD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: CLFD scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.25 (+20.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLFD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: CLFD scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.25 (+20.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$28.69 -
$31.26
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 20.2% below Wall St target ($40.25)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 15.3% growth expectation is conservative given 104% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.69 -
$31.26
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.13
Resistance Level
$33.90
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.41
Wall Street Target
$40.25
(+20.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
104.1%
Profit Margin
-4.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+15.3% premium
PE vs Historical
37.4 vs 24.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+15.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.60
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$44.51
(+33%)
3-Year Target
$51.32
(+53%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.4, Growth: 108.1%)
$112.99
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 108.1%)
$61.62
(+84%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 108.1%)
$52.38
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 26.81 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.25
Bull Case
$40.43
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.2
Base Case
$33.48
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 26.8
Bear Case
$25.61
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 10:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CLFD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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