CM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CM - Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce
$114.01
0.01 (0.01%)
▲
5d:
+0.3%
30d:
-0.74%
90d:
+17.97%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$140.53
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CM is currently trading at $114.01, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $109.00 to $114.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (9.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $115.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $115.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$109.00 -
$114.02
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($109.49)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$109.00 -
$114.02
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$109.12
Resistance Level
$115.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.25
Wall Street Target
$109.49
(-4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.0%
Profit Margin
34.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 9.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$117.31
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$120.71
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$124.21
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$113.93
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.2%)
$306.72
(+169%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 8.2%)
$144.32
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 8.2%)
$122.67
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.20
Bull Case
$189.82
(+67%)
Analyst growth 54.5%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$172.56
(+51%)
Market implied 54.5%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$75.95
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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