CMCM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMCM - Cheetah Mobile Inc. American Depositary Shares, each representing fifty (50) Class A Ordinary Shares
$3.05
-0.02 (-0.65%)
▼
5d:
-0.65%
30d:
-17.79%
90d:
-45.44%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CMCM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -13.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CMCM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -13.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.54
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.06
24.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMCM is currently trading at $3.05, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.04 to $3.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.9) compared to its historical average (2.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.65, while resistance sits at $3.77.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.39 (+205.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.65, while resistance sits at $3.77.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.39 (+205.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$3.04 -
$3.76
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 205.9% below Wall St target ($9.39)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.04 -
$3.76
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.65
Resistance Level
$3.77
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.91
Wall Street Target
$9.39
(+205.9%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.5%
Profit Margin
-21.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.9 vs 2.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.76
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.49
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.24
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$3.40
(+11%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.9 to 2.9
Stabilization Target:
$4.67
(+52.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+52.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 12:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMCM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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