CMP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMP - Compass Minerals International, Inc.
$26.00
1.38 (5.61%)
▲
5d:
-1.4%
30d:
-12.87%
90d:
-12.87%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CMP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CMP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.74
31.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMP is currently trading at $26.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.33 to $30.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.2) compared to its historical average (24.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.45, while resistance sits at $27.28. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CMP scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.50 (+21.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.45, while resistance sits at $27.28. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CMP scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.50 (+21.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.33 -
$30.01
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.2% below Wall St target ($31.50)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 12% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.33 -
$30.01
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.45
Resistance Level
$27.28
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.24
Wall Street Target
$31.50
(+21.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-91.7%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.2 vs 24.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.47
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$23.02
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$21.66
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→24)
$26.01
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 44.1%)
$77.86
(+199%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 44.1%)
$77.19
(+197%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 44.1%)
$65.61
(+152%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 14.77 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.76
Bull Case
$31.39
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$26.00
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$19.89
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.2 to 24.3
Stabilization Target:
$31.21
(+20.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 11:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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