CMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMT - Core Molding Technologies, Inc.
$23.62
-0.62 (-2.56%)
▼
5d:
+0.6%
30d:
-0.3%
90d:
-0.8%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CMT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CMT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.54
17.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMT is currently trading at $23.62, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.21 to $24.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.77, while resistance sits at $25.35.
Market Sentiment: CMT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.00 (+22.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.77, while resistance sits at $25.35.
Market Sentiment: CMT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.00 (+22.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$23.21 -
$24.12
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.8% below Wall St target ($29.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with -4.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.21 -
$24.12
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.77
Resistance Level
$25.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 29, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.81
Wall Street Target
$29.00
(+22.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-72.0%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.64
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$23.67
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$23.69
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.67
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 86.9%)
$147.02
(+522%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 86.9%)
$79.72
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 86.9%)
$67.76
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.11
Bull Case
$48.04
(+103%)
Analyst growth 80.2%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$43.68
(+85%)
Market implied 80.2%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$16.48
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Eric Palomaki
BUY
400 shares
2026-03-20
Michael James Gayford
BUY
500 shares
2026-03-19
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