CMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMT - Core Molding Technologies, Inc.
$23.82
0.48 (2.06%)
▲
5d:
-4.07%
30d:
-1.57%
90d:
+9.67%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CMT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CMT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.54
16.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMT is currently trading at $23.82, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.21 to $24.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.9) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.97, while resistance sits at $25.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.00 (+21.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.97, while resistance sits at $25.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.00 (+21.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$23.21 -
$24.18
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.7% below Wall St target ($29.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with -4.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.21 -
$24.18
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.97
Resistance Level
$25.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.91
Wall Street Target
$29.00
(+21.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-72.0%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.89
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$23.96
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$24.04
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 86.9%)
$147.02
(+517%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 86.9%)
$80.39
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 86.9%)
$68.33
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.11
Bull Case
$46.26
(+94%)
Analyst growth 80.2%, PE expands to 23.1
Base Case
$42.05
(+77%)
Market implied 80.2%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case
$15.87
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 2:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Eric Palomaki
BUY
400 shares
2026-03-20
Michael James Gayford
BUY
500 shares
2026-03-19
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