CMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMT - Core Molding Technologies, Inc.
$26.15
-0.03 (-0.11%)
▼
5d:
+3.32%
30d:
+7.13%
90d:
+8.06%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CMT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CMT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.78
9.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMT is currently trading at $26.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.95 to $25.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $24.62, while resistance sits at $27.37.
Market Sentiment: CMT scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $24.62, while resistance sits at $27.37.
Market Sentiment: CMT scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.95 -
$25.82
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
29.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.2% growth with -20.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.95 -
$25.82
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.62
Resistance Level
$27.37
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.07
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-20.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-55.8%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.99
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$27.85
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$28.74
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.16
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 92.3%)
$135.47
(+418%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 92.3%)
$88.26
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 92.3%)
$75.02
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.84
Bull Case
$57.60
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.3
Base Case
$52.36
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.2
Bear Case
$17.80
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 2:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Eric Palomaki
BUY
400 shares
2026-03-20
Michael James Gayford
BUY
500 shares
2026-03-19
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