Core Molding Technologies (CMT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMT - Core Molding Technologies, Inc.
$23.13
-1.11 (-4.58%)
▼
5d:
+0.96%
30d:
+0.13%
90d:
-4.78%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CMT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CMT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.78
19.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMT is currently trading at $23.13, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.79 to $23.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $22.41, while resistance sits at $24.37. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CMT scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+29.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $22.41, while resistance sits at $24.37. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CMT scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+29.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$22.79 -
$23.75
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 29.7% below Wall St target ($30.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.79 -
$23.75
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.42
Resistance Level
$24.37
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.56
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+29.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-20.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-55.8%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.92
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$22.72
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$22.51
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$23.16
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 300.0%)
$134.06
(+480%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 300.0%)
$78.06
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 300.0%)
$66.35
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case
$53.33
(+131%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 32.1
Base Case
$48.48
(+110%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.2
Bear Case
$16.48
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 11.9
Stabilization Target:
$23.80
(+2.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 1:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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