Core Molding Technologies (CMT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMT - Core Molding Technologies, Inc.
$23.02
0.07 (0.31%)
▲
5d:
-0.82%
30d:
-4.72%
90d:
-1.96%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CMT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CMT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.78
20.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMT is currently trading at $23.02, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.99 to $24.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $22.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CMT scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+30.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $22.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CMT scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+30.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$22.99 -
$24.59
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.3% below Wall St target ($30.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 18% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.99 -
$24.59
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.46
Resistance Level
$24.90
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.51
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+30.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-20.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-55.8%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.77
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$22.52
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$22.27
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$23.02
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 300.0%)
$137.70
(+498%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 300.0%)
$77.69
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 300.0%)
$66.04
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.85
Bull Case
$50.49
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 29.7
Base Case
$45.90
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.0
Bear Case
$15.61
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 11.9
Stabilization Target:
$23.80
(+3.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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