Core Molding Technologies (CMT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMT - Core Molding Technologies, Inc.
$23.75
0.07 (0.30%)
▲
5d:
-1.21%
30d:
-6.02%
90d:
-3.73%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CMT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CMT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.78
17.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMT is currently trading at $23.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.17 to $25.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.9) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $23.03, while resistance sits at $25.86.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+26.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $23.03, while resistance sits at $25.86.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+26.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.17 -
$25.88
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.3% below Wall St target ($30.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.17 -
$25.88
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.03
Resistance Level
$25.86
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.88
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+26.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-20.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-55.8%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.73
(0%)
2-Year Target
$23.70
(0%)
3-Year Target
$23.68
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$23.73
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 92.3%)
$136.15
(+473%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 92.3%)
$80.16
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 92.3%)
$68.13
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.84
Bull Case
$52.10
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.0
Base Case
$47.36
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.2
Bear Case
$16.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 11.9
Stabilization Target:
$23.80
(+0.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 5:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Eric Palomaki
BUY
400 shares
2026-03-20
Michael James Gayford
BUY
500 shares
2026-03-19
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