Core Molding Technologies (CMT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMT - Core Molding Technologies, Inc.
$23.27
0.26 (1.13%)
▲
5d:
+1.09%
30d:
-1.73%
90d:
-1.48%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.78
19.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMT is currently trading at $23.27, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.93 to $23.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $23.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CMT scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+28.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $23.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CMT scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+28.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$22.93 -
$23.83
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.9% below Wall St target ($30.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.93 -
$23.83
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.46
Resistance Level
$23.86
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.63
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+28.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-20.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-55.8%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.11
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$22.95
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$22.78
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$23.30
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 300.0%)
$134.06
(+476%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 300.0%)
$78.54
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 300.0%)
$66.76
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.85
Bull Case
$50.62
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case
$46.02
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.1
Bear Case
$15.65
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 11.9
Stabilization Target:
$23.80
(+2.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 12, 2026 5:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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