CMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMT - Core Molding Technologies, Inc.
$24.00
0.44 (1.87%)
▲
5d:
-1.19%
30d:
+2.35%
90d:
-9.81%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CMT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CMT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.54
15.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMT is currently trading at $24.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.36 to $24.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $22.73, while resistance sits at $25.15.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.00 (+20.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $22.73, while resistance sits at $25.15.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.00 (+20.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$23.36 -
$24.46
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.8% below Wall St target ($29.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with -4.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.36 -
$24.46
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.73
Resistance Level
$25.15
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.00
Wall Street Target
$29.00
(+20.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-72.0%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.12
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$24.24
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$24.36
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.96
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 86.9%)
$139.93
(+483%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 86.9%)
$81.00
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 86.9%)
$68.85
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.11
Bull Case
$46.70
(+95%)
Analyst growth 80.2%, PE expands to 23.4
Base Case
$42.45
(+77%)
Market implied 80.2%, PE stable at 21.2
Bear Case
$16.02
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 7:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Eric Palomaki
BUY
400 shares
2026-03-20
Michael James Gayford
BUY
500 shares
2026-03-19
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