CNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNI - Canadian National Railway
$125.81
-1.40 (-1.10%)
▼
5d:
-2.38%
30d:
+3.5%
90d:
+12.37%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$161.27
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNI is currently trading at $125.81, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $119.54 to $128.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (12.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $125.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.73 (+10.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $125.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.73 (+10.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$119.54 -
$128.62
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($138.73)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$119.54 -
$128.62
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$125.13
Resistance Level
$131.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.01
Wall Street Target
$138.73
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.2%
Profit Margin
26.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 12.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$130.09
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$134.51
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$139.08
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$126.07
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 10.4%)
$250.15
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 10.4%)
$169.07
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 10.4%)
$143.71
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.55
Bull Case
$226.40
(+80%)
Analyst growth 61.8%, PE expands to 25.2
Base Case
$205.82
(+64%)
Market implied 61.8%, PE stable at 22.9
Bear Case
$86.50
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 11:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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