CNM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNM - Core & Main, Inc.
$46.45
-0.80 (-1.69%)
▼
5d:
-2.44%
30d:
-1.51%
90d:
-4.05%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CNM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CNM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.88
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.12
1.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNM is currently trading at $46.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.68 to $50.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.3) is in line with its historical norms (20.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.60 (+28.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.60 (+28.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$46.68 -
$50.91
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.3% below Wall St target ($60.60)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.68 -
$50.91
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.20
Resistance Level
$53.82
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.33
Wall Street Target
$60.60
(+28.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.4%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 20.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.69
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$44.18
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$42.72
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→20)
$47.31
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.5%)
$77.80
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 11.5%)
$65.49
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 11.5%)
$55.66
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.36
Bull Case
$58.36
(+24%)
Analyst growth 9.2%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$53.06
(+12%)
Market implied 9.2%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case
$33.03
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.3 to 20.3
Stabilization Target:
$52.32
(+10.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robyn L Bradbury
SELL
5000 shares
2026-04-17
James D Hope
BUY
1972 shares
2026-04-07
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