XMTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

XMTR - Xometry, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$91.77
0.21 (0.23%) ▲
5d: +5.45%
30d: +5.62%
90d: +121.24%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: XMTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.76
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: XMTR is currently trading at $91.77, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.49 to $92.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 73.3) compared to its historical average (62.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, XMTR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $76.82, while resistance sits at $99.86.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (17th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $83.49 - $92.67
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 17th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 65.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 17th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($85.12)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.5% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $83.49 - $92.67
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$10.75 (11.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $76.82
Resistance Level $99.86
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 73.29
Wall Street Target $85.13 (-7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 35.9%
Profit Margin -7.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.5% premium
PE vs Historical 73.3 vs 62.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $96.60 (+6%)
2-Year Target $101.91 (+11%)
3-Year Target $107.51 (+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 73→62) PE COMPRESSION $91.54 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 73.3, Growth: 76.1%) $309.02 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 76.1%) $91.83 (+0%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 76.1%) $78.06 (-15%)
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Emily Rollins SELL 1000 shares 2026-04-01
Katharine Weymouth BUY 1215 shares 2026-02-27
James Miln SELL 15103 shares 2026-02-26

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Advanced XMTR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's XMTR price and gamma walls.

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