CNO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CNO - CNO Financial Group, Inc.

ACCIDENT & HEALTH INSURANCE
$53.52
0.41 (0.77%) ▲
5d: -3.18%
30d: +1.75%
90d: +12.96%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: CNO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.11
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.81
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CNO is currently trading at $53.52, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.06 to $55.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.6) compared to its historical average (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CNO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: CNO scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $53.06 - $55.05
Company Quality Score 33/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.3%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($53.75)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $53.06 - $55.05
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $52.83
Resistance Level $55.85
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.64
Wall Street Target $53.75 (+0.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 46.2%
Profit Margin 6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.6% premium
PE vs Historical 10.6 vs 9.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $55.45 (+4%)
2-Year Target $57.44 (+7%)
3-Year Target $59.51 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→10) PE COMPRESSION $53.67 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.7%) $125.94 (+135%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 7.7%) $66.80 (+25%)
Bear: (PE: 9.0, Growth: 7.7%) $56.78 (+6%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.89
Bull Case $101.64 (+90%)
Analyst growth 74.0%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case $92.40 (+73%)
Market implied 74.0%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case $36.11 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:29 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott L Goldberg SELL 11060 shares 2026-03-19

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