CNO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNO - CNO Financial Group, Inc.
$52.20
0.24 (0.46%)
▲
5d:
-0.84%
30d:
+5.18%
90d:
+23.55%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.38
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNO is currently trading at $52.20, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.47 to $52.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.6) compared to its historical average (9.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$49.47 -
$52.73
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($50.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.47 -
$52.73
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.67
Resistance Level
$52.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.56
Wall Street Target
$50.00
(-4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
85.7%
Profit Margin
5.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.39
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$56.68
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$59.06
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$52.02
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.3%)
$148.42
(+184%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 11.3%)
$71.95
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 11.3%)
$61.16
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.48
Bull Case
$113.94
(+118%)
Analyst growth 99.4%, PE expands to 23.1
Base Case
$103.58
(+98%)
Market implied 99.4%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case
$35.33
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott L Goldberg
SELL
11060 shares
2026-03-19
Gary C Bhojwani
SELL
43021 shares
2026-02-18
Matthew J Zimpfer
SELL
33800 shares
2026-02-18
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