CNO Financial Group (CNO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$57.93
+0.15 (+0.26%)
▲
5d:
+0.35%
30d:
+8.44%
90d:
+5.62%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
35/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$53.49 – $56.86
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.3x
FAIR
vs 9.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$56.75
-2.0% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$54.72 / $59.15
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.48
Based on -1.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNO is currently trading at $57.93, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.49 to $56.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNO scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNO scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$53.49 -
$56.86
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$53.49 -
$56.86
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$54.72
Resistance Level
$59.15
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($56.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.25
Wall Street Target
$56.75
(-2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
615.1%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.48
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$63.14
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$65.92
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$58.02
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -7.5%)
$80.84
(+40%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: -7.5%)
$45.79
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: -7.5%)
$38.92
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.35
Bull Case
$75.25
(+30%)
Analyst growth 18.4%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case
$68.41
(+18%)
Market implied 18.4%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$39.29
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CNO)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Trader on StockTwits expresses bullish sentiment ahead of $CNO earnings release, citing strong earnings history. No recent news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings
beating estimates
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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