CNO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNO - CNO Financial Group, Inc.
$55.09
1.60 (2.99%)
▲
5d:
+3.49%
30d:
+5.8%
90d:
+23.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CNO trades at premium valuation expecting 5.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CNO trades at premium valuation expecting 5.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.70
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNO is currently trading at $55.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.95 to $53.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (9.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $51.63, while resistance sits at $57.59.
Market Sentiment: CNO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $51.63, while resistance sits at $57.59.
Market Sentiment: CNO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$51.95 -
$53.47
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($51.75)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.6% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.95 -
$53.47
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.63
Resistance Level
$57.59
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.14
Wall Street Target
$51.75
(-6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
85.7%
Profit Margin
5.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.6% premium
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 9.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.18
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$61.43
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$64.87
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$54.73
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 11.7%)
$142.66
(+159%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 11.7%)
$76.68
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 11.7%)
$64.69
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.48
Bull Case
$117.30
(+113%)
Analyst growth 99.4%, PE expands to 23.7
Base Case
$106.63
(+94%)
Market implied 99.4%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case
$36.37
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott L Goldberg
SELL
11060 shares
2026-03-19
Gary C Bhojwani
SELL
43021 shares
2026-02-18
Matthew J Zimpfer
SELL
33800 shares
2026-02-18
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