CNXN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNXN - PC Connection Inc
$84.14
-2.46 (-2.84%)
▼
5d:
+0.5%
30d:
+10.17%
90d:
+28.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNXN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNXN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.54
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNXN is currently trading at $84.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.78 to $84.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (15.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNXN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $80.23, while resistance sits at $88.31.
Market Sentiment: CNXN scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNXN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $80.23, while resistance sits at $88.31.
Market Sentiment: CNXN scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$75.78 -
$84.06
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($83.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.9% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.78 -
$84.06
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.23
Resistance Level
$88.31
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.84
Wall Street Target
$83.00
(-1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.1%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.9% premium
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 15.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$89.10
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$94.36
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$99.93
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$84.32
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 6.9%)
$110.49
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 6.9%)
$102.92
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.9, Growth: 6.9%)
$86.84
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.81
Bull Case
$111.64
(+33%)
Analyst growth 17.2%, PE expands to 25.0
Base Case
$101.49
(+21%)
Market implied 17.2%, PE stable at 22.7
Bear Case
$58.89
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 09, 2026 3:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNXN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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