CNXN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNXN - PC Connection Inc
$79.67
-0.92 (-1.14%)
▼
5d:
+2.23%
30d:
-3.42%
90d:
+14.48%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNXN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNXN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.13
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNXN is currently trading at $79.67, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.67 to $83.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.8) compared to its historical average (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNXN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $76.20, while resistance sits at $82.14.
Market Sentiment: CNXN scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNXN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $76.20, while resistance sits at $82.14.
Market Sentiment: CNXN scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$78.67 -
$83.98
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (67/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($83.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 67/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.67 -
$83.98
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.20
Resistance Level
$82.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.84
Wall Street Target
$83.00
(+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.1%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
17.8 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.62
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$85.67
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$88.84
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$79.67
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 6.9%)
$109.61
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: 6.9%)
$97.45
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 6.9%)
$82.83
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.78
Bull Case
$103.15
(+30%)
Analyst growth 18.1%, PE expands to 23.1
Base Case
$93.78
(+18%)
Market implied 18.1%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case
$53.99
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 29, 2026 11:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNXN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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