PC Connection (CNXN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNXN - PC Connection Inc
$85.62
-0.88 (-1.02%)
▼
5d:
-3.27%
30d:
-5.11%
90d:
+2.27%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 29, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CNXN trades at premium valuation expecting 5.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CNXN trades at premium valuation expecting 5.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$97.20
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNXN is currently trading at $85.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.24 to $92.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.4) compared to its historical average (16.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNXN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNXN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$87.24 -
$92.31
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($83.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.1% growth which is achievable
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.24 -
$92.31
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.10
Resistance Level
$91.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 29, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.37
Wall Street Target
$83.00
(-4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.1%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.1% premium
PE vs Historical
19.4 vs 16.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$90.91
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$95.55
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$100.42
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$86.57
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.9%)
$108.47
(+25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: 6.9%)
$105.81
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 6.9%)
$89.94
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.78
Bull Case
$115.10
(+33%)
Analyst growth 18.1%, PE expands to 25.8
Base Case
$104.63
(+21%)
Market implied 18.1%, PE stable at 23.4
Bear Case
$60.23
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 29, 2026 4:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNXN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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