CP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CP - Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited
$90.65
1.76 (1.98%)
▲
5d:
-0.82%
30d:
+3.26%
90d:
+5.14%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$136.84
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CP is currently trading at $90.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.89 to $92.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.1) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $92.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.06 (+10.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $92.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.06 (+10.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$87.89 -
$92.05
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($100.06)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.0% growth with 12.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.89 -
$92.05
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$87.20
Resistance Level
$92.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.13
Wall Street Target
$100.06
(+10.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.5%
Profit Margin
25.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 14.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.46
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$94.31
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$96.20
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$90.90
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 15.8%)
$192.65
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 15.8%)
$140.63
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 15.8%)
$119.54
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.07
Bull Case
$190.79
(+111%)
Analyst growth 95.1%, PE expands to 31.9
Base Case
$173.45
(+91%)
Market implied 95.1%, PE stable at 29.0
Bear Case
$60.45
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 6:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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