Is CRNC stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CRNC is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: CRNC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of CRNC stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CRNC to be between $10.06 and $10.95. The current price is $10.24.

What is the analyst price target for CRNC?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CRNC is $10.75. This implies a potential upside of 5.0% from current levels.

CRNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CRNC - Cerence Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$10.24

-0.07 (-0.68%) ▼

5d: -0.68%

30d: -5.19%

90d: +35.09%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 20d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRNC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 7.9%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$13.70

Based on 5.9% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$8.51

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRNC is currently trading at $10.24, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.06 to $10.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRNC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.40, while resistance sits at $12.63.

Market Sentiment: CRNC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $10.06 - $10.95

Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)

Options IV Signal 36th percentile (NORMAL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 55.8%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 36th percentile)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.75)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.06 - $10.95

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.47 (14.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.40

Resistance Level $12.63

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Jun 17, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.37

Wall Street Target $10.75 (+5.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -17.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -92.0%

Profit Margin -6.5%

PE vs Historical 13.4 vs 13.4 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): 0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $10.24 (0%)

2-Year Target $10.24 (0%)

3-Year Target $10.24 (0%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→13) $10.26 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.9%) $20.95 (+105%)

Base: (SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 7.9%) $12.86 (+26%)

Bear: (PE: 11.4, Growth: 7.9%) $10.93 (+7%)

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Last updated: July 15, 2026 3:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced CRNC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRNC price and gamma walls.

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