CRTO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRTO - Criteo S.A.
$17.44
-0.04 (-0.26%)
▼
5d:
-8.21%
30d:
-16.27%
90d:
+1.57%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRTO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CRTO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.81
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRTO is currently trading at $17.44, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.20 to $22.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.7) compared to its historical average (4.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CRTO scores 84/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.31 (+16.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CRTO scores 84/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.31 (+16.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$18.20 -
$22.37
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (84/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.31)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.2% growth with -11.3% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 15% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.20 -
$22.37
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.96
Resistance Level
$19.04
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.69
Wall Street Target
$20.31
(+16.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.6%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
4.7 vs 4.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.17
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$18.94
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$19.73
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→4)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.24
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 6.8%)
$90.83
(+421%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.7, Growth: 6.8%)
$21.24
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.0, Growth: 6.8%)
$18.05
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.13
Bull Case
$33.56
(+92%)
Analyst growth 74.5%, PE expands to 9.0
Base Case
$30.51
(+75%)
Market implied 74.5%, PE stable at 8.2
Bear Case
$11.89
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRTO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Der Kooi Frederik Van
BUY
5000 shares
2026-03-13
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