CRTO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRTO - Criteo S.A.
$17.36
0.79 (4.77%)
▲
5d:
-1.92%
30d:
+1.11%
90d:
-0.29%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRTO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CRTO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.86
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRTO is currently trading at $17.36, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.78 to $18.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.9) is in line with its historical norms (4.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.80, while resistance sits at $17.99. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRTO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.64 (+41.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.80, while resistance sits at $17.99. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRTO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.64 (+41.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.78 -
$18.10
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 41.9% below Wall St target ($24.64)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.78 -
$18.10
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.80
Resistance Level
$17.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.87
Wall Street Target
$24.64
(+41.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-77.3%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.9 vs 4.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.17
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$16.98
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$16.79
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
$17.38
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.7%)
$122.23
(+604%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.9, Growth: 7.7%)
$21.70
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.3, Growth: 7.7%)
$18.44
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.13
Bull Case
$38.37
(+132%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 9.0
Base Case
$34.88
(+111%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 8.2
Bear Case
$11.86
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.9 to 4.0
Stabilization Target:
$17.96
(+3.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRTO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Der Kooi Frederik Van
BUY
5000 shares
2026-03-13
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