Criteo (CRTO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRTO - Criteo S.A.
$14.87
-0.07 (-0.47%)
▼
5d:
-5.65%
30d:
-10.15%
90d:
-27.25%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRTO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRTO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.57
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRTO is currently trading at $14.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.90 to $16.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.8) is in line with its historical norms (4.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CRTO scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.15 (+35.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CRTO scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.15 (+35.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.90 -
$16.59
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.5% below Wall St target ($20.15)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.90 -
$16.59
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.64
Resistance Level
$15.85
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.83
Wall Street Target
$20.15
(+35.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.6%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.8 vs 4.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.45
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$14.05
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$13.66
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
$14.96
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.4%)
$106.51
(+616%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.8, Growth: 11.4%)
$20.56
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.3, Growth: 11.4%)
$17.48
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.96
Bull Case
$32.52
(+119%)
Analyst growth 97.9%, PE expands to 8.4
Base Case
$29.56
(+99%)
Market implied 97.9%, PE stable at 7.6
Bear Case
$10.16
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.8 to 4.2
Stabilization Target:
$16.29
(+9.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 1:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRTO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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