CRTO
Criteo S.A.
SERVICES-ADVERTISING AGENCIES
Criteo (CRTO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$17.55
+0.41 (+2.39%)
▲
5d:
+12.21%
30d:
+16.46%
90d:
-3.62%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (22%)
Quality Score
31/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$14.51 – $16.02
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
4.8x
FAIR
vs 4.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$18.85
+7.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$14.38 / $17.88
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRTO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.58
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRTO is currently trading at $17.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.51 to $16.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.8) compared to its historical average (4.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CRTO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CRTO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.51 -
$16.02
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$14.51 -
$16.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$14.38
Resistance Level
$17.88
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.6% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($18.85)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.8% growth with -11.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.79
Wall Street Target
$18.85
(+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-84.3%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.8% premium
PE vs Historical
4.8 vs 4.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.39
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$19.28
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$20.20
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→4)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.71
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.8%)
$112.97
(+544%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.8, Growth: 15.8%)
$27.25
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.1, Growth: 15.8%)
$23.16
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.38
Bull Case
$37.71
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$34.28
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$11.66
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CRTO)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Feb 20, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on CRTO are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRTO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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