Criteo (CRTO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRTO - Criteo S.A.
$17.44
0.07 (0.40%)
â˛
5d:
-4.02%
30d:
+0.46%
90d:
+0.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CRTO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CRTO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.28
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRTO is currently trading at $17.44, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.83 to $18.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.5) is in line with its historical norms (4.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $17.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.23 (+16.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $17.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.23 (+16.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.83 -
$18.81
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.23)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.4% growth with -11.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.83 -
$18.81
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.15
Resistance Level
$18.48
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.50
Wall Street Target
$20.23
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.6%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
4.5 vs 4.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.86
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$18.29
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$18.73
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5â4)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.48
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.9%)
$106.51
(+511%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.5, Growth: 10.9%)
$23.77
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.8, Growth: 10.9%)
$20.20
(+16%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.95
Bull Case
$37.97
(+118%)
Analyst growth 98.7%, PE expands to 9.8
Base Case
$34.52
(+98%)
Market implied 98.7%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case
$11.81
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 8:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRTO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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