Criteo (CRTO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRTO - Criteo S.A.
$14.73
-0.50 (-3.28%)
▼
5d:
-9.52%
30d:
-19.51%
90d:
-36.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Get Alerted When CRTO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRTO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRTO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.28
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRTO is currently trading at $14.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.02 to $17.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.8) is in line with its historical norms (4.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $14.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRTO scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.23 (+37.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $14.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRTO scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.23 (+37.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$16.02 -
$17.75
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 37.3% below Wall St target ($20.23)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.02 -
$17.75
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.35
Resistance Level
$16.96
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.80
Wall Street Target
$20.23
(+37.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.6%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.8 vs 4.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.26
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$13.80
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$13.36
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
$14.76
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.9%)
$107.72
(+631%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.8, Growth: 10.9%)
$20.07
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.2, Growth: 10.9%)
$17.06
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.96
Bull Case
$33.12
(+125%)
Analyst growth 97.7%, PE expands to 8.6
Base Case
$30.11
(+104%)
Market implied 97.7%, PE stable at 7.8
Bear Case
$10.36
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.8 to 4.2
Stabilization Target:
$16.28
(+10.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CRTO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Advertising Agencies Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Advertising Agencies by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TTD
Trade Desk Inc |
BUY
41 analysts |
$14 | 54 HOLD |
|
APP
Applovin Corp |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$498 | 46 HOLD |
|
DV
DoubleVerify Holdings Inc |
BUY
20 analysts |
$13 | 56 HOLD |
|
MGNI
Magnite Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$29 | 46 HOLD |
|
NEXN
Nexxen International Ltd |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$15 | 64 BUY |
