CRTO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRTO - Criteo S.A.
$18.21
0.85 (4.90%)
▲
5d:
+3.58%
30d:
-19.42%
90d:
+12.76%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRTO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CRTO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.62
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRTO is currently trading at $18.21, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.00 to $23.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.6) compared to its historical average (4.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.42, while resistance sits at $22.56. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRTO scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.69 (+13.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.42, while resistance sits at $22.56. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRTO scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.69 (+13.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.00 -
$23.12
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
96.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.69)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.8% growth with -11.3% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 24% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.00 -
$23.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.42
Resistance Level
$22.56
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.61
Wall Street Target
$20.69
(+13.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.6%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
4.6 vs 4.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.90
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$19.62
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$20.37
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→4)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.10
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.4%)
$122.74
(+574%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.6, Growth: 15.4%)
$27.99
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.9, Growth: 15.4%)
$23.79
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.13
Bull Case
$35.39
(+94%)
Analyst growth 85.3%, PE expands to 9.0
Base Case
$32.17
(+77%)
Market implied 85.3%, PE stable at 8.2
Bear Case
$11.80
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 13, 2026 10:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRTO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Der Kooi Frederik Van
BUY
5000 shares
2026-03-13
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