CSCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSCO - Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
$120.17
-0.93 (-0.77%)
▼
5d:
-3.21%
30d:
+4.02%
90d:
+52.31%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$134.99
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSCO is currently trading at $120.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $106.72 to $125.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.2) compared to its historical average (19.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $116.50, while resistance sits at $130.37.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $116.50, while resistance sits at $130.37.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$106.72 -
$125.91
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($126.95)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.0% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$106.72 -
$125.91
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$116.50
Resistance Level
$130.37
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.16
Wall Street Target
$126.95
(+5.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.1%
Profit Margin
19.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.0% premium
PE vs Historical
25.2 vs 19.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$130.99
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$142.77
(+19%)
3-Year Target
$155.62
(+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$120.00
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.2, Growth: 11.7%)
$167.37
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.7%)
$144.89
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 11.7%)
$123.16
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.00
Bull Case
$212.08
(+77%)
Analyst growth 59.2%, PE expands to 44.4
Base Case
$192.80
(+60%)
Market implied 59.2%, PE stable at 40.4
Bear Case
$82.35
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 16, 2026 4:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-19
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-19
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