Viasat (VSAT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VSAT - Viasat Inc

RADIO & TV BROADCASTING & COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT
$74.31
0.13 (0.18%) ▲
5d: +3.61%
30d: -14.81%
90d: +2.2%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $75.32 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 6.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VSAT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.55
Based on -34.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.34
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VSAT is currently trading at $74.31, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.77 to $82.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 248.8) compared to its historical average (166.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VSAT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.47, while resistance sits at $79.83.

Market Sentiment: VSAT scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.94 (+39.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $70.77 - $82.44
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 82.4%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (67/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 39.9% below Wall St target ($103.94)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 14.3% growth which is achievable
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 67/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $70.77 - $82.44
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $65.47
Resistance Level $79.83
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 248.78
Wall Street Target $103.94 (+39.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 35.7%
Profit Margin -0.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +14.3% premium
PE vs Historical 248.8 vs 166.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +14.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $84.94 (+14%)
2-Year Target $97.08 (+31%)
3-Year Target $110.96 (+49%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 249→167) PE COMPRESSION $74.31 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 248.8, Growth: -72.7%) $54.17 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -72.7%) $4.39 (-94%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: -72.7%) $3.73 (-95%)
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 8:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:39 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Craig Andrew Miller SELL 5260 shares 2026-03-17

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Advanced VSAT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VSAT price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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