VSAT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VSAT - Viasat Inc

RADIO & TV BROADCASTING & COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT
$74.72
0.69 (0.93%) ▲
5d: -9.83%
30d: +0.61%
90d: +5.6%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 14, 2026 at $83.57 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 7.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: VSAT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 16.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.55
Based on -34.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.34
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VSAT is currently trading at $74.72, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.31 to $82.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 250.2) compared to its historical average (160.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 16.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VSAT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: VSAT scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.44 (+35.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $71.31 - $82.25
Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 49.0%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 35.8% below Wall St target ($101.44)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 16.0% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $71.31 - $82.25
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $72.65
Resistance Level $87.90
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 250.15
Wall Street Target $101.44 (+35.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 35.7%
Profit Margin -0.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +16.0% premium
PE vs Historical 250.2 vs 160.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +16.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $86.68 (+16%)
2-Year Target $100.54 (+35%)
3-Year Target $116.63 (+56%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 250→160) PE COMPRESSION $74.78 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 250.2, Growth: -72.7%) $54.47 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -72.7%) $4.37 (-94%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: -72.7%) $3.71 (-95%)
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Craig Andrew Miller SELL 5260 shares 2026-03-17
Robert James Blair SELL 30411 shares 2026-03-16
Benjamin Edward Palmer SELL 2400 shares 2026-03-12

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Advanced VSAT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VSAT price and gamma walls.

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