Viasat (VSAT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VSAT - Viasat Inc

RADIO & TV BROADCASTING & COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT
$72.00
1.65 (2.35%) ▲
5d: -1.4%
30d: +2.97%
90d: -14.08%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your VSAT Gains
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 25, 2026 at $73.02 · last confirmed Sep 30, 2026

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VSAT trades at premium valuation expecting 11.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.55
Based on -34.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.34
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VSAT is currently trading at $72.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.51 to $74.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 241.0) compared to its historical average (172.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VSAT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $68.01, while resistance sits at $78.31.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.94 (+44.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $69.51 - $74.86
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.4%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 44.4% below Wall St target ($103.94)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 11.8% growth which is achievable
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (40/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $69.51 - $74.86
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $68.01
Resistance Level $78.31
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 241.04
Wall Street Target $103.94 (+44.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 35.7%
Profit Margin -0.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +11.8% premium
PE vs Historical 241.0 vs 172.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +11.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $80.50 (+12%)
2-Year Target $89.99 (+25%)
3-Year Target $100.61 (+40%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 241→173) PE COMPRESSION $72.00 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 241.0, Growth: -72.7%) $52.49 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -72.7%) $4.44 (-94%)
Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: -72.7%) $3.78 (-95%)
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:22 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced VSAT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VSAT price and gamma walls.

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