CSW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSW - CSW Industrials, Inc.
$283.06
2.12 (0.75%)
▲
5d:
+1.07%
30d:
+6.51%
90d:
-2.57%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$480.93
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$298.62
5.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSW is currently trading at $283.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $269.37 to $280.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.2) is in line with its historical norms (23.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $288.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CSW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $326.43 (+15.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $288.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CSW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $326.43 (+15.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$269.37 -
$280.57
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($326.43)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with 34.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$269.37 -
$280.57
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$263.62
Resistance Level
$288.37
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.17
Wall Street Target
$326.43
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.2%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
24.2 vs 23.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$286.17
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$289.32
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$292.50
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$283.19
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.2, Growth: 20.1%)
$490.57
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 20.1%)
$442.07
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 20.1%)
$375.76
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.69
Bull Case
$540.99
(+91%)
Analyst growth 75.1%, PE expands to 46.2
Base Case
$491.81
(+74%)
Market implied 75.1%, PE stable at 42.0
Bear Case
$191.04
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 12:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph B Armes
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-15
Don Sullivan
SELL
166 shares
2026-04-15
Luke Alverson
SELL
1007 shares
2026-04-07
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