DAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAR - DARLING INGREDIENTS INC.
$62.03
1.20 (1.97%)
▲
5d:
+7.15%
30d:
+5.84%
90d:
+1.24%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DAR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DAR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.86
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.63
1.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAR is currently trading at $62.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.73 to $59.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (14.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $63.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DAR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.25 (+21.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $63.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DAR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.25 (+21.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$53.73 -
$59.62
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.3% below Wall St target ($75.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.73 -
$59.62
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.10
Resistance Level
$63.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.18
Wall Street Target
$75.25
(+21.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.6%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 14.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.05
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$56.22
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$53.52
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$61.96
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.1%)
$148.22
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 10.1%)
$82.88
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 10.1%)
$70.44
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.38
Bull Case
$133.83
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 48.5
Base Case
$121.66
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 44.1
Bear Case
$41.36
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 14.1
Stabilization Target:
$71.82
(+15.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Randall C Stuewe
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-06
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