DFIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DFIN - Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc.
$48.68
1.38 (2.92%)
▲
5d:
-3.12%
30d:
+5.35%
90d:
-4.17%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DFIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DFIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.29
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.23
1.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DFIN is currently trading at $48.68, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.37 to $49.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.0) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DFIN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $41.69, while resistance sits at $53.56.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.00 (+31.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DFIN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $41.69, while resistance sits at $53.56.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.00 (+31.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$43.37 -
$49.78
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.5% below Wall St target ($64.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.37 -
$49.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.69
Resistance Level
$53.56
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.97
Wall Street Target
$64.00
(+31.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.80
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$46.94
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$46.10
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$48.82
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 14.1%)
$167.22
(+244%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 14.1%)
$72.36
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 14.1%)
$61.51
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.54
Bull Case
$104.06
(+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 33.8
Base Case
$94.60
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 30.7
Bear Case
$32.16
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 9.5
Stabilization Target:
$51.55
(+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 6:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DFIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric J Johnson
SELL
20280 shares
2026-03-06
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