Is DOV stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, DOV is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: DOV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of DOV stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for DOV to be between $209.59 and $224.40. The current price is $202.20.

What is the analyst price target for DOV?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for DOV is $250.94. This implies a potential upside of 24.1% from current levels.

DOV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DOV - Dover Corporation

CONSTRUCTION, MINING & MATERIALS HANDLING MACHINERY & EQUIP

$202.20

4.40 (2.22%) ▲

5d: -5.59%

30d: -9.86%

90d: -11.37%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your DOV Gains

Analysis Updated: Jul 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 23, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

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Strength: 6.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DOV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 8.9%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$297.49

Based on 6.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$184.72

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DOV is currently trading at $202.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $209.59 to $224.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.4) is in line with its historical norms (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DOV is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $193.75, while resistance sits at $218.68.

Market Sentiment: DOV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $250.94 (+24.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $209.59 - $224.40

Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 24.1% below Wall St target ($250.94)
CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.6%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $209.59 - $224.40

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $193.75

Resistance Level $218.68

Current Trend Sideways

Technical data as of Jul 24, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.45

Wall Street Target $250.94 (+24.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.1%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 5.3%

Profit Margin 13.3%

Valuation Discount vs History -2.4% cheaper

PE vs Historical 17.5 vs 18.8 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -2.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $197.35 (-2%)

2-Year Target $192.61 (-5%)

3-Year Target $187.99 (-7%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→19) $202.48 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.8, Growth: 8.9%) $311.58 (+54%)

Base: (SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: 8.9%) $261.34 (+29%)

Bear: (PE: 14.8, Growth: 8.9%) $222.14 (+10%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 26.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.38

Bull Case $341.54 (+69%)

Analyst growth 57.0%, PE expands to 29.5

Base Case $310.49 (+54%)

Market implied 57.0%, PE stable at 26.8

Bear Case $134.50 (-34%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.8

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.5 to 18.8

Stabilization Target: $217.79 (+7.7%)

PE Expansion Potential: +7.7%

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Last updated: July 26, 2026 9:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Richard J Tobin SELL 76997 shares 2026-02-19

Ivonne M Cabrera SELL 4000 shares 2026-02-17

Girish Juneja SELL 1500 shares 2026-02-11

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