ECVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ECVT - Ecovyst Inc.
$12.79
-0.10 (-0.78%)
▼
5d:
-1.39%
30d:
-4.05%
90d:
+6.76%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ECVT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ECVT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.08
29.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ECVT is currently trading at $12.79, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.82 to $14.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.3) compared to its historical average (16.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECVT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.20 (+26.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECVT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.20 (+26.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.82 -
$14.21
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($16.20)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.82 -
$14.21
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.63
Resistance Level
$14.01
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.28
Wall Street Target
$16.20
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
50.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.6%
Profit Margin
-8.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 16.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.14
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$11.52
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$10.93
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→17)
$12.78
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 34.2%)
$47.16
(+269%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 34.2%)
$30.92
(+142%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 34.2%)
$26.28
(+106%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.79 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.62
Bull Case
$15.44
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.8
Base Case
$12.79
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$9.78
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 16.7
Stabilization Target:
$14.96
(+16.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ECVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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