ECVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ECVT - Ecovyst Inc.
$11.92
0.02 (0.17%)
▲
5d:
+0.93%
30d:
-6.51%
90d:
-14.43%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ECVT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ECVT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.15
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.48
31.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ECVT is currently trading at $11.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.02 to $12.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.5) compared to its historical average (16.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECVT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.75 (+32.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECVT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.75 (+32.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.02 -
$12.92
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.1% below Wall St target ($15.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.02 -
$12.92
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.63
Resistance Level
$14.01
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.52
Wall Street Target
$15.75
(+32.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
50.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.6%
Profit Margin
-8.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 16.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.17
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$10.47
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$9.81
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$11.89
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 29.9%)
$42.05
(+253%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 29.9%)
$26.10
(+119%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 29.9%)
$22.19
(+86%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.19 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.62
Bull Case
$14.39
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$11.92
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case
$9.12
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 16.4
Stabilization Target:
$14.46
(+21.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ECVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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