Ecovyst (ECVT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ECVT - Ecovyst Inc.
$9.92
-0.15 (-1.49%)
▼
5d:
-2.84%
30d:
-0.1%
90d:
-23.34%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ECVT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ECVT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.53
40.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ECVT is currently trading at $9.92, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.86 to $11.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (15.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 48.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECVT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.17 (+52.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECVT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.17 (+52.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$9.86 -
$11.13
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.9% below Wall St target ($15.17)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (47/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.86 -
$11.13
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.89
Resistance Level
$10.48
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.32
Wall Street Target
$15.17
(+52.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.9%
Profit Margin
-7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 15.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.93
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.04
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.23
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→16)
$9.97
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 26.7%)
$35.95
(+262%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 26.7%)
$20.18
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 26.7%)
$17.15
(+73%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.23
Bull Case
$22.15
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 48.2
Base Case
$20.14
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 43.8
Bear Case
$6.85
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 15.6
Stabilization Target:
$13.67
(+37.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 1:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ECVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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