ECVT
Ecovyst Inc.
CHEMICALS & ALLIED PRODUCTS
Ecovyst (ECVT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$10.75
-0.07 (-0.65%)
▼
5d:
+5.6%
30d:
+8.37%
90d:
+3.46%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$9.91 – $10.33
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.4x
CHEAP
vs 14.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$15.00
+39.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$9.76 / $11.07
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ECVT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.11
Based on 13.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.97
28.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ECVT is currently trading at $10.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.91 to $10.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 48.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECVT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ECVT scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+39.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECVT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ECVT scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+39.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.91 -
$10.33
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$9.91 -
$10.33
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$9.76
Resistance Level
$11.07
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.5% below Wall St target ($15.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.40
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+39.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
50.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.9%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 14.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.12
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$9.52
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$8.96
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$10.76
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 23.0%)
$32.02
(+198%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 23.0%)
$20.00
(+86%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 23.0%)
$17.00
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.39
Bull Case
$23.80
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.5
Base Case
$21.64
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.7
Bear Case
$7.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 14.9
Stabilization Target:
$12.91
(+20.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ECVT)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Ecovyst reported strong Q3 2026 results, with sales up 51% YoY to $308.6 million and Adjusted EBITDA increasing by 6% to $61.2 million. The company raised its 2026 outlook.
Key Retail Themes:
Q3 earnings report
Raised 2026 outlook
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 4:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ECVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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