ERIE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ERIE - Erie Indemnity Co
$236.86
-5.18 (-2.14%)
▼
5d:
+3.77%
30d:
-8.64%
90d:
+10.19%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ERIE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ERIE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ERIE is currently trading at $236.86, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $222.64 to $250.67.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERIE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $209.38, while resistance sits at $254.58.
Market Sentiment: ERIE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $115.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERIE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $209.38, while resistance sits at $254.58.
Market Sentiment: ERIE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $115.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$222.64 -
$250.67
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
13th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 13th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 51.4% above Wall St target ($115.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$222.64 -
$250.67
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$12.89
(5.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$209.38
Resistance Level
$254.58
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.74
Wall Street Target
$115.00
(-51.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Profit Margin
14.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ERIE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
3
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
John Fetterman
BUY
2026-03-30
John Fetterman
BUY
2026-03-27
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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Advanced ERIE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ERIE price and gamma walls.
