ERIE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ERIE - Erie Indemnity Co
$264.85
2.56 (0.98%)
▲
5d:
+3.46%
30d:
+23.46%
90d:
+17.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ERIE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ERIE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ERIE is currently trading at $264.85, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $224.72 to $258.51.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERIE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $270.47. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ERIE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $115.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERIE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $270.47. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ERIE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $115.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$224.72 -
$258.51
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Options IV Signal
13th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
33.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ERIE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 13th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 56.6% above Wall St target ($115.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$224.72 -
$258.51
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$14.41
(5.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$246.99
Resistance Level
$270.47
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.74
Wall Street Target
$115.00
(-56.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Profit Margin
14.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ERIE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
2
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
John Fetterman
BUY
2026-03-30
John Fetterman
BUY
2026-03-27
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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Advanced ERIE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ERIE price and gamma walls.
