ETD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ETD - Ethan Allen Interiors Inc
$22.13
0.40 (1.84%)
▲
5d:
+4.14%
30d:
+3.65%
90d:
-1.16%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ETD trades at premium valuation expecting 4.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ETD trades at premium valuation expecting 4.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.65
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ETD is currently trading at $22.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.09 to $22.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (13.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$21.09 -
$22.12
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.9% growth with -4.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.09 -
$22.12
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.12
Resistance Level
$21.62
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.26
Wall Street Target
$24.00
(+8.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.8%
Profit Margin
6.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 13.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.21
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$24.35
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$25.55
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.09
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 1.0%)
$32.58
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 1.0%)
$22.83
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 1.0%)
$19.41
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.58
Bull Case
$21.94
(-1%)
Analyst growth -8.2%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case
$19.94
(-10%)
Market implied -8.2%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$14.78
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 1:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ETD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
M Farooq Kathwari
SELL
2168 shares
2026-01-22
M Farooq Kathwari
SELL
102 shares
2026-01-22
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