ETOR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ETOR - eToro Group Ltd. Class A Common Shares
$35.67
-0.47 (-1.30%)
▼
5d:
-3.02%
30d:
-11.71%
90d:
+0.25%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
7d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ETOR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ETOR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.58
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.48
9.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ETOR is currently trading at $35.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.72 to $40.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETOR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ETOR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (18th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.93 (+59.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETOR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ETOR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (18th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.93 (+59.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$36.72 -
$40.07
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
18th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 18th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 59.6% below Wall St target ($56.93)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.72 -
$40.07
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.85
(8.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.00
Resistance Level
$38.57
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.65
Wall Street Target
$56.93
(+59.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-35.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.6%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.89
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$34.12
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$33.37
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$35.70
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 17.7%)
$113.28
(+218%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 17.7%)
$58.22
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 17.7%)
$49.48
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.41
Bull Case
$55.23
(+55%)
Analyst growth 38.9%, PE expands to 16.5
Base Case
$50.21
(+41%)
Market implied 38.9%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case
$24.58
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$38.17
(+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ETOR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ETOR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ETOR price and gamma walls.