ETOR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ETOR - eToro Group Ltd. Class A Common Shares
$38.22
-0.93 (-2.39%)
▼
5d:
-7.49%
30d:
+1.2%
90d:
+19.76%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
28d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ETOR is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ETOR is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.86
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.41
0.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ETOR is currently trading at $38.22, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.93 to $40.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETOR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ETOR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.93 (+49.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETOR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ETOR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.93 (+49.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$37.93 -
$40.31
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ETOR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.0% below Wall St target ($56.93)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.5%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.93 -
$40.31
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.41
Resistance Level
$43.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.50
Wall Street Target
$56.93
(+49.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-35.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.6%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.29
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$38.37
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$38.44
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.8%)
$115.28
(+202%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 16.8%)
$60.87
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 16.8%)
$51.74
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.40
Bull Case
$59.62
(+56%)
Analyst growth 38.5%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$54.20
(+42%)
Market implied 38.5%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$26.62
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ETOR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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