ETOR
eToro Group Ltd. Class A Common Shares
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ETOR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$21.56
-1.76 (-7.55%)
▼
5d:
-4.52%
30d:
-13.86%
90d:
-24.27%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
0d
Protect ETOR Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (52%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$22.95 – $25.25
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.2x
CHEAP
vs 10.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$42.63
+97.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$21.30 / $23.87
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ETOR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.85
43.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ETOR is currently trading at $21.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.95 to $25.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.2) compared to its historical average (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 87.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETOR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: ETOR scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.63 (+97.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETOR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: ETOR scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.63 (+97.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.95 -
$25.25
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$22.95 -
$25.25
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$21.30
Resistance Level
$23.87
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding ETOR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 97.7% below Wall St target ($42.63)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.23
Wall Street Target
$42.63
(+97.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-24.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
87.1%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 10.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.40
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$17.46
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$15.72
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→11)
$22.82
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 28.2%)
$124.61
(+478%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 28.2%)
$45.38
(+111%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 28.2%)
$38.57
(+79%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.71
Bull Case
$28.22
(+31%)
Analyst growth 10.0%, PE expands to 9.5
Base Case
$25.65
(+19%)
Market implied 10.0%, PE stable at 8.6
Bear Case
$15.86
(-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 10.5
Stabilization Target:
$31.30
(+45.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ETOR)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
eToro's stock took a hit after the company reported Q3 earnings that missed Wall Street estimates, causing the stock to decline by over 6%.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings miss
crypto slump
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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