EXE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXE - Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock
$87.10
-0.15 (-0.17%)
▼
5d:
-2.01%
30d:
-1.65%
90d:
-12.01%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EXE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EXE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$99.66
Based on 1.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXE is currently trading at $87.10, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.49 to $90.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $88.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.28 (+45.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $88.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.28 (+45.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$87.49 -
$90.53
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.0% below Wall St target ($126.28)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.49 -
$90.53
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$88.36
Resistance Level
$94.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.10
Wall Street Target
$126.28
(+45.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.0%
Profit Margin
24.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.01
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$82.97
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$80.98
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$87.37
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -1.6%)
$178.77
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: -1.6%)
$82.92
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: -1.6%)
$70.48
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.28
Bull Case
$65.38
(-25%)
Analyst growth -33.2%, PE expands to 7.4
Base Case
$59.44
(-32%)
Market implied -33.2%, PE stable at 6.7
Bear Case
$60.50
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 10.9
Stabilization Target:
$93.98
(+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Michael Wichterich
BUY
2000 shares
2026-03-06
Julia Letlow
SELL
2026-02-17
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-02-10
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