FG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FG - F&G Annuities & Life, Inc.
$29.06
0.49 (1.72%)
▲
5d:
-1.92%
30d:
+4.01%
90d:
+1.64%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.58
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.16
3.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FG is currently trading at $29.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.70 to $30.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 5.7) compared to its historical average (4.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$27.70 -
$30.76
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($27.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.1% growth with 30.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.70 -
$30.76
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.50
Resistance Level
$30.92
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.71
Wall Street Target
$27.00
(-7.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.2%
Profit Margin
8.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.1% premium
PE vs Historical
5.7 vs 4.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.54
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$32.10
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$33.74
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.96
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 43.6%)
$312.71
(+976%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.7, Growth: 43.6%)
$86.11
(+196%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.9, Growth: 43.6%)
$73.19
(+152%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.86
Bull Case
$41.45
(+43%)
Analyst growth 31.9%, PE expands to 8.1
Base Case
$37.68
(+30%)
Market implied 31.9%, PE stable at 7.4
Bear Case
$19.43
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 10:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Celina J Wang Doka
BUY
4760 shares
2026-03-13
Christopher O Blunt
BUY
10000 shares
2026-03-13
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