FG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FG - F&G Annuities & Life, Inc.
$22.57
-0.07 (-0.31%)
▼
5d:
-17.69%
30d:
-22.49%
90d:
-18.19%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FG is down 17.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FG is down 17.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.36
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.03
24.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FG is currently trading at $22.57, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.46 to $30.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.5) is in line with its historical norms (5.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FG is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $22.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FG scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.00 (+19.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FG is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $22.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FG scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.00 (+19.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$27.46 -
$30.82
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($27.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.46 -
$30.82
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.18
Resistance Level
$28.03
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.54
Wall Street Target
$27.00
(+19.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.2%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.5 vs 5.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.92
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$21.28
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$20.66
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
$22.74
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 43.9%)
$296.84
(+1215%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.5, Growth: 43.9%)
$67.21
(+198%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.9, Growth: 43.9%)
$57.13
(+153%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.92
Bull Case
$42.36
(+88%)
Analyst growth 70.1%, PE expands to 8.5
Base Case
$38.51
(+71%)
Market implied 70.1%, PE stable at 7.8
Bear Case
$15.40
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.5 to 5.0
Stabilization Target:
$24.83
(+10.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is FG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Celina J Wang Doka
BUY
4760 shares
2026-03-13
Christopher O Blunt
BUY
10000 shares
2026-03-13
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