Lincoln National (LNC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$42.56
-0.21 (-0.49%)
▼
5d:
+2.31%
30d:
+4.75%
90d:
-6.01%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
Protect LNC Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (50%)
Quality Score
60/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$39.82 – $41.83
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
4.9x
FAIR
vs 4.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$48.08
+12.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$38.55 / $43.24
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: LNC is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 29, 2026 at $41.00 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026
Strength: 6.6/10
Get Alerted When LNC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.97
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LNC is currently trading at $42.56, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.82 to $41.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.9) is in line with its historical norms (4.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LNC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.08 (+12.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LNC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.08 (+12.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$39.82 -
$41.83
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$39.82 -
$41.83
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$38.55
Resistance Level
$43.24
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding LNC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($48.08)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.90
Wall Street Target
$48.08
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
219.5%
Profit Margin
17.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
4.9 vs 4.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.41
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$44.06
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$44.72
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.87
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.4%)
$233.30
(+446%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.9, Growth: 10.4%)
$57.60
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.2, Growth: 10.4%)
$48.96
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 2.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.58
Bull Case
$23.64
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 2.7
Base Case
$21.49
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 2.4
Bear Case
$29.23
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share LNC Analysis
Share this live LNC analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LNC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 16, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish trader on StockTwits identified a three inside up candlestick pattern in $LNC stocks, indicating a potential bullish trend reversal.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 4:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:02 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is LNC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Insurance - Life Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Insurance - Life by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
MET
MetLife Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$109 | 53 HOLD |
|
UNM
Unum Group |
BUY
13 analysts |
$99 | 55 HOLD |
|
MFC
Manulife Financial Corp |
BUY
15 analysts |
$35 | 52 HOLD |
|
GL
Globe Life Inc |
BUY
11 analysts |
$185 | 54 HOLD |
|
ABL
Abacus Life Inc. |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$14 | 42 HOLD |
Advanced LNC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LNC price and gamma walls.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive LNC Research Pages
