FHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FHI - Federated Hermes, Inc.
$58.74
0.62 (1.07%)
▲
5d:
+0.72%
30d:
+1.5%
90d:
+4.33%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FHI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FHI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$82.55
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FHI is currently trading at $58.74, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.54 to $59.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $58.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FHI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $58.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FHI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$56.54 -
$59.06
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($57.43)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.54 -
$59.06
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.41
Resistance Level
$58.35
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.23
Wall Street Target
$57.43
(-2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Profit Margin
21.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.15
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$59.57
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$59.98
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$58.66
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.1%)
$171.35
(+192%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 11.1%)
$80.45
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 11.1%)
$68.38
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.15
Bull Case
$71.31
(+21%)
Analyst growth 11.5%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$64.83
(+10%)
Market implied 11.5%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$39.52
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 5:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Paul A Uhlman
SELL
72392 shares
2026-03-12
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