FHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FHI - Federated Hermes, Inc.
$58.21
-0.04 (-0.07%)
▼
5d:
+2.21%
30d:
+4.53%
90d:
+2.84%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FHI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FHI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.88
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FHI is currently trading at $58.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.71 to $57.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $58.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FHI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $58.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FHI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$54.71 -
$57.33
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($55.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.71 -
$57.33
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.41
Resistance Level
$58.35
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.37
Wall Street Target
$55.00
(-5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Profit Margin
21.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.97
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$59.73
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$60.51
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$58.37
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.2%)
$168.25
(+189%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 11.2%)
$80.07
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 11.2%)
$68.06
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.15
Bull Case
$69.87
(+20%)
Analyst growth 9.0%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$63.52
(+9%)
Market implied 9.0%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$39.61
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 16, 2026 1:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Paul A Uhlman
SELL
72392 shares
2026-03-12
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