FHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FHI - Federated Hermes, Inc.
$63.94
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+5.63%
30d:
+10.41%
90d:
+18.41%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FHI is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FHI is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.19
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FHI is currently trading at $63.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.64 to $60.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $63.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FHI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $63.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FHI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$56.64 -
$60.67
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.4% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($58.86)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.64 -
$60.67
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.96
Resistance Level
$63.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.91
Wall Street Target
$58.86
(-7.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Profit Margin
21.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.79
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$67.70
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$69.67
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$63.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.9%)
$152.67
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 7.9%)
$80.37
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 7.9%)
$68.31
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.38
Bull Case
$71.83
(+12%)
Analyst growth 8.9%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$65.30
(+2%)
Market implied 8.9%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$40.77
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 9:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Paul A Uhlman
SELL
72392 shares
2026-03-12
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