Federated Hermes (FHI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FHI - Federated Hermes, Inc.
$63.99
-0.05 (-0.08%)
▼
5d:
+9.42%
30d:
+14.37%
90d:
+1.35%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 6, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FHI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FHI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.89
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FHI is currently trading at $63.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.78 to $60.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $55.76, while resistance sits at $67.38.
Market Sentiment: FHI scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $55.76, while resistance sits at $67.38.
Market Sentiment: FHI scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$54.78 -
$60.58
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
17.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.6% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($60.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.78 -
$60.58
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.76
Resistance Level
$67.38
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 6, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.74
Wall Street Target
$60.00
(-6.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Profit Margin
21.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.40
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$66.84
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$68.31
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$64.24
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.5%)
$138.91
(+117%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 5.5%)
$75.11
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 5.5%)
$63.85
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.39
Bull Case
$77.88
(+22%)
Analyst growth 10.5%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$70.80
(+11%)
Market implied 10.5%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case
$43.55
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 07, 2026 2:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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