Federated Hermes (FHI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FHI - Federated Hermes, Inc.
$62.40
0.24 (0.39%)
▲
5d:
-3.12%
30d:
-1.34%
90d:
+9.42%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FHI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FHI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.08
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FHI is currently trading at $62.40, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.90 to $64.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$61.90 -
$64.77
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($61.14)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (55/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.90 -
$64.77
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.72
Resistance Level
$65.83
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.57
Wall Street Target
$61.14
(-2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Profit Margin
21.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.34
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$64.29
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$65.25
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$62.34
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 6.0%)
$142.15
(+128%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 6.0%)
$74.28
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 6.0%)
$63.14
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.51
Bull Case
$73.25
(+17%)
Analyst growth 7.1%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$66.59
(+7%)
Market implied 7.1%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$42.27
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 07, 2026 4:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Paul A Uhlman
SELL
72392 shares
2026-03-12
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