FN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FN - Fabrinet
$470.82
-5.22 (-1.10%)
▼
5d:
-4.74%
30d:
-17.08%
90d:
-34.63%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 17, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.9% annual earnings decline despite 53% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.9% annual earnings decline despite 53% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$843.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$523.58
10.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FN is currently trading at $470.82, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $470.09 to $552.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.2) compared to its historical average (34.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 53.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $440.02, while resistance sits at $534.12.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $732.44 (+55.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $440.02, while resistance sits at $534.12.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $732.44 (+55.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$470.09 -
$552.64
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
45th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 45th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.6% below Wall St target ($732.44)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$470.09 -
$552.64
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$67.14
(14.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$440.02
Resistance Level
$534.12
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.18
Wall Street Target
$732.44
(+55.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
53.3%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.2 vs 34.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$433.63
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$399.37
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$367.82
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→35)
$470.89
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.2, Growth: 25.4%)
$928.31
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 25.4%)
$710.67
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 25.4%)
$604.07
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.66
Bull Case
$777.85
(+65%)
Analyst growth 48.5%, PE expands to 44.9
Base Case
$707.14
(+50%)
Market implied 48.5%, PE stable at 40.8
Bear Case
$323.71
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.2 to 34.8
Stabilization Target:
$602.75
(+28.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 28, 2026 1:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-27
Josh Gottheimer
BUY
2026-03-24
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